Chainlink Faces Potential Correction After Rally Stalls Near 200-Day EMA and Key Resistance

  • Chainlink (LINK) experiences a sharp pullback after a promising rally, signaling potential bearish pressure near critical resistance levels.

  • The cryptocurrency’s failure to surpass the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a descending trendline suggests traders are cautious amid declining volume and active addresses.

  • According to COINOTAG analytics, liquidation data reveals significant short and long position risks, underscoring heightened market volatility around the $14.25 support and $15.77 resistance zones.

Chainlink dips 5.25% after hitting resistance near the 200-day EMA; traders face liquidation risks amid declining volume and bearish momentum.

LINK Faces Increased Downside Pressure After Failing to Break Key Resistance

Chainlink’s recent price action highlights a critical juncture as it struggles to maintain gains following a 22% rally. The asset’s inability to break above the 200-day EMA and a descending trendline has triggered a 5.25% decline, with prices hovering near $14.40. This technical resistance has prompted traders to reassess their positions, contributing to an 11% drop in trading volume and a 13% decrease in Daily Active Addresses, as reported by IntoTheBlock. These metrics indicate a waning interest and reduced market participation, which often precedes further downside moves in volatile assets like LINK.

Liquidation Risks Highlight Market Sentiment and Potential Price Traps

On-chain analytics from CoinGlass reveal that the current price levels are critical for leveraged traders. The liquidation map shows nearly $2.90 million in long positions at risk if LINK falls below the $14.25 support level. Conversely, a breakout above $15.77 could trigger the liquidation of approximately $15.37 million in short positions. This imbalance suggests that the market sentiment is skewed towards a bearish outlook, with more capital positioned against LINK’s upside. Traders should monitor these liquidation thresholds closely, as they often act as catalysts for sharp price movements in either direction.

LINK Exchange Liquidation Map

Source: CoinGlass

Technical Indicators Signal Potential Correction for LINK

From a technical analysis perspective, Chainlink’s price action has been marked by repeated rejections at the descending trendline and the 200-day EMA, which have acted as formidable resistance barriers. Each attempt to breach these levels has been met with increased selling pressure, resulting in a series of lower highs that align with a bearish trend. The current price behavior suggests that unless LINK can decisively close above $15.77 and sustain momentum, the altcoin may experience a further correction. Analysts point to a possible 10% decline, which could push prices toward the $12.70 support zone, a level that has historically provided buying interest.

Chainlink (LINK) price action

Source: TradingView

Market Outlook and Strategic Considerations for Traders

Given the current technical setup and on-chain data, traders should exercise caution and consider the elevated risks associated with leveraged positions around the key support and resistance levels. A sustained break above $16 could signal a shift in momentum and potentially attract renewed buying interest, while failure to hold above $14.25 may accelerate downside pressure. Market participants are advised to monitor volume trends and liquidation data closely to anticipate potential volatility spikes. Risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders and position sizing, remain critical in navigating the uncertain environment surrounding LINK.

Conclusion

Chainlink’s recent pullback after a strong rally underscores the challenges of overcoming significant resistance near the 200-day EMA and descending trendline. The combination of declining trading volume, reduced active addresses, and concentrated liquidation risks points to a cautious market environment. While a breakout above $15.77 could alleviate bearish pressure, current indicators favor a potential correction toward $12.70. Traders and investors should remain vigilant, leveraging technical and on-chain insights to inform their strategies amid this volatile phase.

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