Chainlink [LINK] Price Set to Potentially Drop Below $13 Amid Token Release and Exchange Transfer

• Chainlink’s recent token release has significant implications for its market performance.
• The majority of these tokens were sent to a well-known exchange, raising concerns among investors.
• Statements from analysts suggest potential price volatility, especially as LINK’s value has already seen a decline.

Chainlink’s latest token unlocking could send ripples through the market, potentially leading to significant price movements. Dive into our comprehensive analysis.

Impact of New Token Supply on Chainlink’s Market

Chainlink [LINK] has introduced an additional 21 million tokens to its supply, a move that could alter the market dynamics significantly. Originally valued at $295 million upon release, these tokens represented a substantial influx into the circulating supply of 1 billion tokens.

According to historical data, such unlock events can lead to increased volatility, often resulting in a price drop. In this instance, Chainlink transferred approximately 18.25 million tokens to Binance, hinting at a potential sell-off.

Selling or Holding: The Project’s Next Move?

While the majority of the tokens were moved to Binance, a smaller fraction—worth $31.30 million—was moved to a multi-signature wallet, suggesting that Chainlink may be holding onto these reserves for future use. A multi-signature wallet enhances security by requiring multiple keyholders to approve transactions, often indicating a significant and controlled financial strategy.

As LINK’s value is currently $13.72, a 3.58% decline in the past 24 hours, the market is keenly observing the movement of these tokens.

Price Volatility: What Does the Data Indicate?

LINK’s velocity, a crucial metric that measures the frequency of token transactions, has been increasing since June 20th. This heightened activity could lead to substantial price fluctuations. Historically, increased velocity corresponds to periods of significant price volatility.

Information from Glassnode indicates that if this trend continues, LINK’s price might experience further declines, possibly dropping below the $13 mark.

Analyzing Market Sentiments and Price Levels

Using the In/Out of Money At Price (IOMAP) metric, which helps identify support and resistance levels based on transactional data, we see potential resistance at $13.90. This is populated by 14,140 addresses holding 11.62 million tokens, who are currently at a loss. If these holders decide to break even, it could result in downward pressure on the price, pushing it towards $12.95.

Moreover, 12,090 addresses bought 5.84 million LINK at an average price of $13.40, currently sitting in profit, which provides a slight cushion against further declines.

Conclusion

In summary, the release of additional tokens by Chainlink presents a mixed bag of scenarios. While the transfer of a significant portion to an exchange suggests potential sell-offs, the transfer to a multi-signature wallet indicates retention plans. Traders should remain vigilant, as increased token velocity and resistance levels may contribute to ongoing price volatility. The short-term outlook could see LINK testing new lows around $12.95, especially if current resistances hold firm.