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Chainlink eyes a breakthrough at $15.30 as bullish indicators align across both technical and on-chain metrics, signaling potential upward momentum.
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Chainlink formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, bolstered by a bullish EMA crossover.
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On-chain activity indicates support for a possible breakout above the $15.30 resistance level.
Chainlink [LINK] is gradually building momentum after several weeks of sideways movement, positioning itself for a potential breakout. At the time of writing, LINK traded at $15.02—a 0.55% gain over the past 24 hours. This price action comes as bulls attempt to overcome the stubborn $15.30 resistance. Multiple technical and on-chain signals now align favoring buyers, although broader confirmation still hinges on a decisive breakout and sustained strength above the current consolidation zone.
Breaking down Chainlink’s technical setup
LINK has formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart, with the neckline at $15.30. This bullish reversal structure signals a likely trend shift if price clears resistance. Additionally, the 9 EMA has crossed above the 21 EMA, confirming short-term momentum strength. The moving average crossover supports the idea that bulls are regaining control. However, LINK must achieve a clear breakout above the neckline to validate this setup. Otherwise, rejection may extend consolidation in the $14.50–$15.30 range.

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Source: TradingView
Rising deposits spark caution
Exchange metrics offer a mixed narrative. Over the past seven days, exchange reserves declined by 1.03%, suggesting reduced sell-side pressure, which offers a less bearish long-term outlook. However, exchange netflows spiked by 37.46% in the last 24 hours, indicating a short-term increase in deposit activity. Such spikes often signal potential for increased near-term selling.
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Source: CryptoQuant
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Volume, wallet engagement showing healthy signs
On-chain indicators reflect encouraging growth. Transfer volume increased by 73.2% over the last 24 hours, reflecting elevated coin movement. Additionally, active addresses rose by 11.06%, suggesting increased wallet participation. These metrics confirm improving user engagement, although the total transaction count dropped slightly by 2.33%, which may reflect temporary consolidation rather than a loss of interest.

Source: CryptoQuant
LINK’s derivatives market indicates mild bullish sentiment. The press time funding rate was 0.0090%, suggesting that longs dominated without excessive leverage. This balanced speculative pressure indicates traders are confident but not overly aggressive, which is constructive as it limits the risk of sudden liquidations.
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Trend momentum confirmation?
The SuperTrend indicator has confirmed a fresh buy signal on LINK’s daily chart, as highlighted by Ali Charts. This confirmation adds confidence to the ongoing bullish setup seen across lower timeframes, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move higher. If LINK closes above the $15.30 neckline, this SuperTrend shift could validate a broader market reversal. The alignment across trend indicators and pattern structures increases the odds of breakout confirmation in the coming sessions.

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Source: X
Conclusion
Chainlink appears well-positioned for a breakout if it decisively closes above the $15.30 neckline. The alignment of bullish technical patterns, moving average crossover, increasing on-chain activity, and a confirmed SuperTrend buy signal bolster the breakout thesis. Although short-term exchange inflows introduce slight caution, the overall outlook favors continued upward movement. A rally toward the $17 mark seems plausible if the breakout is confirmed with volume.
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