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Chainlink (LINK) has seen a remarkable surge to $25.08, positioning it as a key player with a market cap of $15.87 billion, raising questions about its valuation.
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The recent spike of over 30% in the last 24 hours suggests a robust buying interest, even as analysts ponder whether LINK is still undervalued amidst its impressive growth.
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According to COINOTAG’s report, “With Link’s total value secured surpassing $60 billion, there is an argument to be made for its significant untapped potential.”
Chainlink has surged to $25.08, raising questions about its valuation amid a $15.87 billion market cap and climbing total value secured in DeFi.
Rising demand for Chainlink oracles
The Total Value Secured (TVS) chart from DeFiLlama paints a vivid picture of Chainlink’s expanding dominance in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. Having steadily climbed throughout 2024, the TVS now exceeds $60 billion at press time.
This increase reflects the growing adoption of Chainlink’s data feeds across various decentralized applications (dApps), demonstrating its critical role in powering DeFi operations.
Source: DeFiLlama
The rising TVS is aligned with increased activity across DeFi protocols, where Chainlink is benefiting significantly as numerous projects integrate its Oracle solutions. Considering its market cap-to-TVS ratio, LINK looks undervalued in comparison to its substantial contributions to the security and efficiency of decentralized ecosystems.
Uptick in network participation
Even more telling, an analysis of daily active addresses indicates a significant surge in network activity, peaking at over 11,455 addresses on December 2nd. This uptick shows heightened user interest and engagement with the Chainlink network.
Notably, this increase coincided with LINK’s recent price rally, suggesting that new participants are likely entering the ecosystem amidst positive market dynamics.
Source: Santiment
This rise in active addresses typically correlates with increased on-chain utility, suggesting that sustained growth in this metric could further bolster Chainlink’s value appreciation.
Evaluating LINK’s valuation
Currently, the 60-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio for Chainlink has surged above 55%, indicating that the average holder is enjoying significant unrealized gains. Historically, elevated MVRV levels suggest heightened chances of profit-taking and potential short-term corrections. However, LINK’s price trend during these elevated MVRV levels continues to reflect strong market confidence.
Source: Santiment
While the MVRV ratio suggests LINK may be entering overbought territory in the short term, its long-term outlook remains strong, supported by the consistent growth of its TVS.
Technicals back a bullish narrative
Analysis of the Chainlink chart reveals a breakout above key resistance levels, supported by strong trading volumes. The token has shown a bullish trend, trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates overbought conditions at 81.97, suggesting that a short-term correction could be approaching.
Source: TradingView
The Fibonacci retracement levels indicate that $23.78 and $20.43 could act as potential support zones should LINK retract from its current highs. Conversely, the next resistance levels are projected at $28 and $30, presenting opportunities for further growth if the bullish momentum persists.
Overall, despite the elevated MVRV ratio and overbought RSI suggesting short-term corrections may be likely, the broader trend showcases a potential for long-term growth. Given Chainlink’s expanding utility, growing adoption, and a modest market cap-to-TVS ratio, LINK appears to remain undervalued in the context of its critical role within the crypto ecosystem.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Chainlink’s recent price surge reflects a significant uptick in user engagement and adoption within the DeFi sphere. The metrics indicate a strong potential for long-term growth, positioned against a backdrop of solid fundamentals and expanding use cases. Investors would do well to monitor LINK’s price actions closely, as prevailing conditions could lead to strategic entry points in upcoming market cycles.
