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- Renowned market analysis firm CryptoQuant has highlighted critical on-chain metrics suggesting that Bitcoin (BTC) may have reached its price floor and that a cryptocurrency rally could be impending.
- The recent CryptoQuant weekly report underscores key indicators such as increased bullish momentum, rising BTC demand, and rapid stablecoin liquidity growth.
- “The crypto market is exhibiting signs of a potential recovery,” noted the CryptoQuant report.
Discover key signals pointing toward a potential bottom for Bitcoin prices and what it means for the broader cryptocurrency market resurgence.
Elevated Bullish Momentum
According to CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator is showing that the market is in its least bullish phase since the significant downturn in March 2023, attributed to the U.S. banking crisis.
With Bitcoin fluctuating around $61,000 and recently hitting a one-month low at $58,500, the need for bullish momentum is paramount for price recovery. For this to happen, the Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator must surpass its 30-day simple moving average.
The rate of BTC demand must also return to the levels observed in the first quarter of 2023 for prices to bounce back. Despite a slight improvement post-May, current demand growth still lags behind the rates seen when U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs made their debut.
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Long-term Bitcoin holders form another crucial piece of this puzzle. At present, they are purchasing BTC at a monthly rate of 72,000 BTC, which is significantly lower than the 160,000 BTC monthly pace in the first quarter. Although this buying rate has shown a marginal increase from 68,000 BTC in May, a substantial uptick is essential for a sustainable price rise.
The Risk of a Major Correction
The critical support level for Bitcoin is currently pegged at $56,000, based on Metcalfe price valuation bands. This level has previously acted as a robust resistance and cap in past cycles. A drop below this threshold could trigger a significant market correction, potentially leading to further losses.
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Positive unrealized profit margins among traders could indicate upcoming rallies. Additionally, an increase in Bitcoin flows from other exchanges to Coinbase suggests a spike in U.S. interest, often linked with higher Bitcoin prices.
Moreover, a rapid increase in stablecoin liquidity, typically marked by Tether’s (USDT) market cap growth over 60 days, signals fresh capital entering the market—a vital element for upward price movement.
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Conclusion
In summary, several on-chain metrics suggest that Bitcoin might be nearing its price floor, setting the stage for a potential rally. Increased bullish momentum, rising BTC demand, and enhanced stablecoin liquidity are critical indicators to watch. Market participants should pay close attention to these metrics to gauge future price movements and make informed investment decisions.
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