Ether Eyes Potential Rally Above $5,000 Amid Bullish Pattern and Short-Term Bearish Risks

• Ether (ETH) is entering a critical phase marked by a powerful “Power of 3” trading pattern, signaling a potential surge beyond $5,000 amid strong institutional interest.

• Despite positive inflows into spot ETH ETFs and a bullish setup, Ether faces significant short-term bearish pressures, including increased whale activity and technical resistance challenges.

• According to COINOTAG, this pattern reflects a historic fractal reminiscent of Ether’s 2016–2017 rally, suggesting a possible “most hated rally” driven by institutional accumulation and market structure shifts.

Ether’s “Power of 3” setup points to a $5,000 target amid strong ETF inflows, but rising whale activity and technical resistance could trigger a 25% correction.

Understanding Ether’s “Power of 3” Setup and Institutional Demand

Ether’s recent price action exemplifies the “Power of 3” or AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) model, a framework that captures institutional trading behavior around critical liquidity zones. The accumulation phase was characterized by subdued price movement from early May to late June, indicating strategic position building by long-term investors.

This phase was followed by a brief manipulation event, where ETH dipped below $2,200, triggering short-term retail panic and stop-loss orders. However, the rapid rebound above $2,500 demonstrated strong buying interest, primarily from institutional players. Data from Glassnode highlights that spot ETH ETFs have seen net inflows totaling 106,000 ETH over the past week, marking the seventh consecutive week of positive capital inflows. This sustained demand underscores growing institutional confidence in Ether’s medium-term prospects.

Institutional Inflows and Market Structure Signal a Potential Rally

The final distribution phase of the “Power of 3” pattern is now unfolding, with price targets exceeding $5,000, implying a potential 100% rally from current levels. This stage typically involves aggressive price appreciation as liquidity pools above the manipulation zone are targeted and short positions are unwound. Thomas Lee, head of Bitmine, has emphasized this fractal’s significance, suggesting that Ether may be on the cusp of a “most hated rally”—a sharp upward move that defies prevailing market skepticism but is supported by institutional accumulation and robust market fundamentals.

Short-Term Bearish Risks: Whale Activity and Technical Resistance

Despite the bullish pattern, Ether faces notable headwinds that could precipitate a correction. Technical analysis reveals that ETH recently failed to breach a critical resistance zone near $2,500 and slipped below the lower boundary of a multi-year symmetrical triangle on the biweekly chart, signaling potential downside momentum.

Adding to the bearish outlook, a significant whale transaction moved approximately $237 million worth of Ether from staking contracts to exchanges, with over 62,000 ETH transferred to Binance within five days. This redistribution from large holders to exchange wallets often precedes increased selling pressure, raising the possibility of a 25% price correction toward the $1,600 support level.

Market Sentiment and Trading Metrics Highlight Growing Downside Pressure

Crypto analyst exitpump points out that Ether’s inability to surpass $2,500 coincides with rising short interest and negative funding rates, indicating that traders are increasingly betting on a price decline. Aggregated open interest surged during the New York trading session even as prices fell, while spot trading volumes decreased, further confirming bearish sentiment. Immediate liquidity is now concentrated below current price levels, with key downside targets identified between $2,350 and $2,275.

Conclusion

Ether’s current “Power of 3” setup presents a compelling case for a significant rally driven by institutional accumulation and market structure dynamics. However, short-term technical resistance and increased whale activity introduce meaningful risks of a correction. Investors should monitor ETF inflows, whale wallet movements, and key support levels closely to navigate this complex landscape. Balancing these factors will be crucial for positioning in Ether as it potentially embarks on a transformative phase in Q3.