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Ethereum is testing a key On-Balance Volume (OBV) support at ~12.75M while price faces a decisive $4,250 resistance; reclaiming $4,250 is required to restore bullish momentum, whereas failure risks deeper retests and attracts short interest.
OBV support at ~12.75M is critical for near-term Ethereum momentum.
Reclaiming $4,250 resistance is needed to confirm a fresh bullish leg; rejection raises short-pressure risk.
OBV rose from ~10.25M to 12.5M after July breakouts, showing clear accumulation and buyer conviction.
Ethereum OBV support at 12.75M — monitor $4,250 resistance; read analysis and trade implications for ETH momentum.
Ethereum tests key OBV support near 12.75M as analyst Lennaert Snyder warns $4,250 resistance must break to regain momentum.
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Ethereum is testing key technical levels as its On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows a potential breakdown. The OBV, currently at 12.78 million, has shown accumulation patterns since July.
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However, the indicator is now revisiting the lower boundary of a rising channel, raising concerns about near-term momentum. Analyst Lennaert Snyder noted that Ethereum is testing its previous range low as resistance.
He added that the asset must reclaim $4,250 to regain upward momentum, while rejection at this level may encourage short positions.
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What is Ethereum OBV support and why does 12.75M matter?
Ethereum OBV support at 12.75M represents the lower edge of a rising OBV channel and signals whether buying volume remains dominant. A sustained hold above this level supports continuation of accumulation; a decisive break below could signal a shift to distribution and deeper price retests.
How has OBV behaved since July and what does it show now?
OBV moved sideways into late June, then broke out of a triangular consolidation in early July—this was the initial buy signal.
A second breakout occurred as OBV surpassed a descending resistance line, lifting the indicator from ~10.25M to above 12.5M and confirming strong buying pressure.
Source: IncomeSharks
Since mid-August, OBV has formed an ascending parallel channel and tested horizontal support near 12M, which previously held. The current test at ~12.75M is the channel’s lower boundary after OBV retreated from highs near 13.25M.
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How does the $4,250 resistance affect Ethereum momentum?
$4,250 resistance is a price-level pivot for market sentiment: a clear reclaim would likely attract renewed buyers and validate the OBV-led accumulation thesis. Conversely, a rejection at or below $4,250 increases the probability of shorting activity and deeper price retracements.
Analyst Lennaert Snyder emphasizes that reclaiming $4,250 is necessary to regain momentum. If ETH fails to clear this level, market participants may target lower supports in alignment with a weakening OBV.
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What are trade implications and risk controls?
Longs: Consider waiting for price confirmation above $4,250 and OBV holding above 12.75M before adding exposure.
Shorts: Rejection at $4,250 with OBV breakdown below 12.75M favors short entries with tight risk management.
Stops: Place protective stops below confirmed support levels and monitor OBV for divergence signals.
OBV and Price Levels — Quick Comparison
Level
OBV Value / Price
Implication
Key OBV support (channel)
12.75M
Hold = continued accumulation; break = distribution risk
Recent OBV high
~13.25M
Short-term resistance for volume-driven move
Price pivot
$4,250
Reclaim = bullish; rejection = increased short pressure
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Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if OBV breaks below 12.75M?
A decisive break below 12.75M would suggest a shift from accumulation to distribution, increasing the likelihood of deeper price retests and attracting short-term selling pressure. Traders should reassess risk exposure and wait for confirmed support flips.
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How should traders use $4,250 to plan entries?
Use $4,250 as a confirmation level: consider adding to long positions only after price decisively reclaims it with OBV support intact. If rejected, favor defensive or short-biased strategies with tight risk management.
Key Takeaways
OBV at 12.75M: Critical support that validates accumulation when held.
$4,250 resistance: Reclaiming it is likely necessary for renewed bullish momentum.
Trade guidance: Wait for confirmation of OBV and price before initiating new long positions; manage risk proactively.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s OBV testing the 12.75M channel support and the market’s inability to clear $4,250 are the immediate technical storylines. Traders should watch OBV and price confirmation before committing to directional trades. COINOTAG will monitor updates and provide follow-up analysis as on-chain and volume signals evolve.
