Ethereum is poised for a major breakout from a 3-year ascending triangle, with bullish MACD crossover and rising RSI signaling momentum toward a $10,000–$20,000 target by 2026.
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Ethereum nears $4,200 resistance, forming a long-term ascending triangle with breakout potential.
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Monthly MACD crossover and green histogram indicate increasing bullish momentum.
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RSI at 82.87 reflects strong buying pressure, consistent with previous major ETH rallies.
Ethereum nears a bullish breakout with strong momentum indicators, targeting $10K–$20K by 2026. Stay informed with COINOTAG’s expert crypto analysis.
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Ethereum is approaching a critical breakout point after forming a 3-year ascending triangle pattern.
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Technical indicators like MACD and RSI support a bullish outlook, suggesting significant upward price movement.
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COINOTAG experts highlight key resistance and support levels crucial for Ethereum’s next phase.
Ethereum’s breakout potential is backed by strong technical signals and expert analysis. Discover what this means for investors and traders today.
Ethereum’s Monthly Structure Strengthens with Bullish Momentum Indicators
The Ethereum monthly candle recently closed with strong bullish momentum, marked by a MACD crossover where the MACD line crossed above the signal line. This shift is supported by a green histogram, signaling renewed buying interest on higher timeframes. Such MACD behavior last appeared in early 2023, preceding a moderate price rally. This pattern suggests Ethereum is gearing up for a significant upward move, potentially mirroring its historic surge from $250 to $4,800 during 2020-2021.
How Does the MACD Crossover Signal Ethereum’s Next Move?
The MACD crossover is a key momentum indicator showing a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it often precedes price increases. In Ethereum’s case, this crossover aligns with rising price levels near multi-month highs, indicating strong buying pressure. The green histogram further confirms momentum strength, suggesting that Ethereum could break out from its consolidation phase soon.
ETH/USD 1-month price chart, Source: Merlijn on X
What Does Ethereum’s Price Action Near $4,200 Resistance Reveal?
Ethereum is currently trading just below the $4,000 mark, with resistance looming near $4,200. The price is close to the upper Bollinger Band at $4,169.07, which acts as a psychological barrier. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 82.87, indicating strong buying momentum despite being in overbought territory. Historically, elevated RSI levels have preceded major Ethereum rallies, suggesting sustained bullish pressure. Daily trading volume remains stable at 12.12K ETH, supporting the ongoing uptrend without signs of weakening.
ETH/USD 1-day price chart, Source: TradingView
How Does the Ascending Triangle Pattern Influence Ethereum’s Price Outlook?
Ethereum’s price is confined within a 3-year ascending triangle, with a base near $1,000 and resistance around $4,800. The triangle’s apex is approaching, with the upward trendline now near $1,900. A decisive breakout above $4,800 could trigger a parabolic rally targeting $10,000 to $20,000 by 2026. Conversely, failure to break this resistance may lead to retracements toward critical support zones at $3,400, $3,000, or $2,000. These levels coincide with trendline contacts and Bollinger Band support, providing potential entry points for buyers.
This technical structure, combined with rising volume and momentum indicators, suggests Ethereum is positioned for a significant directional move in the near term.
Technical Indicator | Current Value | Historical Comparison |
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RSI | 82.87 (Overbought) | Similar to pre-2021 rally levels |
MACD | Bullish Crossover | Last seen early 2023 before rally |
Price Resistance | $4,200 – $4,800 | Key breakout zone for major moves |
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Ethereum’s ascending triangle pattern mean for investors?
The ascending triangle pattern signals a buildup of buying pressure with a flat resistance level. A breakout above this resistance often leads to rapid price increases, making it a key indicator for investors watching Ethereum’s next move.
How does the MACD crossover influence Ethereum’s momentum?
The MACD crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating a shift to bullish momentum. This technical signal often precedes upward price trends, suggesting Ethereum is gaining strength.
Key Takeaways
- Ethereum is nearing a breakout from a 3-year ascending triangle, signaling potential for major price gains.
- Technical indicators like MACD and RSI confirm rising bullish momentum and strong buying pressure.
- Critical resistance at $4,200–$4,800 will determine if Ethereum can rally toward $10,000–$20,000 by 2026.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s technical setup points to a pivotal breakout opportunity, supported by bullish momentum indicators and a well-formed ascending triangle. Investors should watch key resistance levels closely as Ethereum targets significant gains in the coming years. COINOTAG will continue to provide expert analysis on this evolving trend.
Ethereum nears a breakout from a 3 year triangle, with MACD crossover, rising RSI, and bullish momentum pointing to a $10K–$20K target.
- Ethereum nears the $4,200 resistance, forming a 3 year ascending triangle with breakout potential toward $10K–$20K by 2026.
- A bullish MACD crossover and green histogram on the monthly chart signal rising momentum for Ethereum’s next major move.
- RSI at 82.87 indicates strong buying pressure; while overbought, it aligns with trends seen before major ETH rallies.
Ethereum price structure is taking shape for what could be its most explosive move since the 2021 rally. The asset is currently locked in a broad ascending triangle pattern, with resistance around $4,800 and a rising support trendline beginning from $1,000 in mid-2022.
The triangle has compressed over three years and now is near its apex, aligning with an active bullish setup on higher timeframes. Ethereum is trading just below $4,000, while several technical indicators point to increased volatility and momentum building up. A breakout above $4,200 could lead to a rapid surge in price.
Monthly Structure Strengthens as Momentum Builds
Ethereum monthly candle closed strongly, displaying notable bullish strength. This recent candle comes with a fresh MACD crossover, where the blue MACD line crossed above the orange signal line.

ETH/USD 1-month price chart, Source: Merlijn on X
Additionally, the histogram flipped from red to green, supporting the possibility of renewed upward momentum. This same MACD structure last appeared in early 2023 and led to a moderate price rally.
Now, with price nearing multi month highs again, the setup suggests conditions are aligning for a broader breakout. Historical comparisons show Ethereum previously surged from $250 to $4,800 between 2020 and 2021. A similar move is being projected through a second red box on the chart, with speculative targets ranging from $14,000 to $20,000.
Price Action Approaching $4,200 Resistance with High RSI
At press time, Ethereum was trading at $3,938.89 with a daily high of $3,940.93 and a low of $3,844.60. The price is close to the upper Bollinger Band level at $4,169.07, which also acts as psychological resistance. The lower band is far below at $2,694.43.

ETH/USD 1-day price chart, Source: TradingView
Meanwhile, the RSI is at 82.87, well above the overbought level of 70. This high reading suggests strong bullish momentum, although such conditions often precede short term pullbacks.
However, RSI can stay elevated during aggressive trends, as seen in past market cycles. Daily trading volume is stable at 12.12K ETH, showing no signs of divergence from the ongoing rally.
Triangle Apex, MACD Crossover, and Support Zones Align
The current triangle pattern spans from a $1,000 base to a $4,800 top, compressing over a three year period. The upward trendline now rises toward $1,900, and the price is nearing the triangle’s apex.
If the $4,800 resistance breaks, price projections suggest a parabolic rally toward $10,000–$20,000 into 2026. However, if the price fails to break above that level, Ethereum could fall toward key support zones near $3,400, $3,000, or even $2,000.
These support levels show areas of trendline contact and Bollinger Band support, indicating where the price could retrace if momentum stalls. The structure is intact, with indicators showing an ongoing buildup of energy across higher timeframes.
Ethereum current positioning shows a convergence of technical strength, with volume, momentum, and long term trendlines all pointing toward decisive price action.