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Ethereum (ETH) is poised for a significant breakout as futures buyers increase their activity, aided by favorable historical trends for May.
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As bullish sentiment rises, ETH’s Taker Buy-Sell Ratio reached a 2025 high, forecasting strong momentum in the cryptocurrency.
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CryptoQuant highlights this surge, emphasizing the notable correlation between increased futures trading and sharp price movements.
ETH is on the brink of a breakout, with rising futures market sentiment and strong historical performance in May potentially signaling upward momentum.
Futures traders turn decisively bullish
Ethereum’s Taker Buy-Sell Ratio has climbed to 1.10, marking its highest level in 2025 so far. This indicates that buyers are increasingly aggressive, dominating the futures market.
The surge reflects growing confidence among traders, signaling strong conviction in ETH’s upward momentum.
Source: CryptoQuant
Notably, this spike aligns with ETH maintaining levels above $1,800, even as broader market sentiment remains cautious.
The last time the Taker Buy-Sell Ratio reached similar levels was early January, just before a brief rally.
This time, however, key factors point to a potentially stronger breakout. ETH has established a stable price floor, and historical seasonality favors upward momentum. These elements suggest the possibility of a more sustained price surge.
May: Ethereum’s sweet spot
If history is any guide, May could be a turning point for Ethereum.
Source: Coinglass
According to Coinglass data, May has historically been Ethereum’s best-performing month, with an average return of 27.36% across the calendar year.
The median return of 6.96% further supports this trend, highlighting standout gains in 2017, 2019, and 2021.
While recent years have shown mixed results, 2023 posted a modest 2.44% increase. Despite this, May remains known for strong upside momentum, making it a closely watched period for ETH traders.
Ethereum’s price outlook
At $1,819, ETH traded above the key $1,800 support at press time, with a mild upward bias. The RSI at 55 showed moderate bullish momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.
More notably, the MACD remained in positive territory with a widening gap between the MACD and signal lines, hinting at sustained upward pressure.
Source: TradingView
However, recent intraday momentum loss and flat trading volume signal caution for ETH bulls.
To reignite upward movement, buyers must secure a strong hold above $1,850. This level is crucial for building momentum toward the $2,000 psychological barrier.
For now, Ethereum appears to be consolidating, awaiting either a macro trigger or a surge in breakout volume to drive its next move.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s current stance suggests a potential rally, but market players should remain vigilant. The key levels of $1,800 and $1,850 will be critical in determining the next moves in the market. A break through these points could pave the way for further bullish trends.
