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Ethereum’s recent performance signals a pivotal moment as its long-term holders show renewed bullishness amid contrasting trends with Bitcoin.
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As the ETH/BTC ratio hovers around crucial levels, analysts are closely watching for potential rebounds that could redefine market dynamics.
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According to IntoTheBlock, “Currently, 74.7% of Ethereum addresses are long-term holders, significantly outpacing Bitcoin. This trend is likely to hold until Ethereum approaches its all-time high and holders start taking profits.”
Explore how Ethereum is poised for potential growth as long-term holders increase their stakes, altering the crypto landscape moving into 2025.
Ethereum’s Long-Term Holders Show Increased Conviction
Recent data indicates a remarkable shift in the sentiment of Ethereum’s long-term holders (LTH). This group has demonstrated increasing bullish conviction, with 74.7% of Ethereum addresses classified as LTH, which is significantly higher compared to Bitcoin. The analytics firm IntoTheBlock highlighted that this trend initiated in early 2024 and has gained momentum through 2025. This behavior suggests a consolidation phase for Ethereum holders, largely waiting for a price resurgence towards record levels from 2021.
Market Trends: Institutional Demand and Price Movements
The recent divergence between ETH and BTC is underscored by institutional demand fluctuations. While Bitcoin’s ETFs saw a rise in net inflows, Ethereum ETFs experienced outflows in the early weeks of 2025. Data from Soso Value confirmed that while institutional interest visibly shifts, it gives Bitcoin an upper hand in immediate price movements. This dynamic suggests potential pricing pressures on Ethereum if trends do not reverse. However, the ETH/BTC ratio indicates a 4-year low, suggesting a possible equilibrium point could soon form.
Performance Analysis and Price Forecast for Ethereum
As Ethereum prices linger above the $3,000 mark, many investors anticipate a rebound from the recent lows witnessed in December. The support zone between $3K and $3.3K serves as a critical juncture, as traders eye a target near $3.6K. Observations from technical analysis emphasize that regaining the 50-day EMA could catalyze a stronger upward move for ETH as market conditions stabilize.
Source: TradingView
Conclusion
In conclusion, Ethereum’s recent dynamics showcase a strong commitment among long-term holders, indicating a potential resurgence if market conditions align. Analysts predict that a rebound is possible, particularly if trading breaks through established resistance levels. While institutional trends appear more favorable for Bitcoin currently, the evolving landscape may create opportunities for Ethereum in the coming months, making it essential for investors to keep a watchful eye on market indicators and sentiment shifts.
