ETH/BTC has formed a clear V-shaped recovery and posted a weekly close above the SuperGuppy resistance, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure. This breakout increases the probability of ETH outperforming BTC as liquidity rotates into higher-beta assets and momentum continues to build.
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V-shaped recovery validated by weekly price action and near-100% rebound from the 0.018 BTC low
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The pair closed above the SuperGuppy multi-EMA zone for the first time since early 2022, marking a structural trend change
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Analyst projections place ETH/BTC targets at 0.05–0.06 BTC if momentum and liquidity rotation persist
ETH/BTC shows a decisive V-shaped recovery and breakout above SuperGuppy resistance, signaling potential ETH outperformance vs BTC — read analysis on COINOTAG.
By COINOTAG | Published: October 16, 2025 | Updated: October 16, 2025
What is ETH/BTC’s V-shaped recovery and why does it matter?
ETH/BTC completed a pronounced V-shaped recovery from the 0.018 BTC low, signaling renewed accumulation and a reversal in market structure on weekly timeframes. The recovery matters because a weekly close above the SuperGuppy resistance confirms a transition from sustained bearish pressure to bullish expansion, increasing the odds of ETH outperformance versus BTC.
How significant is the SuperGuppy breakout for ETH/BTC?
The SuperGuppy is a layered set of exponential moving averages (EMAs) that has acted as resistance for ETH/BTC since mid-2022. A weekly close above this band is significant because it indicates that short-, medium- and long-term EMA clusters have been breached, reducing the probability of continued downside pressure. Technical analyst Alex Clay noted the pair’s “Brutal V-Recovery” and described the fixation above SuperGuppy as a structural shift that often precedes extended altcoin strength in historical cycles.
#ETH/BTC
✅Brutal V-Recovery
✅Fixation above the SuperGuppy Resistance $ETH will outperform $BTC in the coming months no doubts 🚀
pic.twitter.com/MNRyCvayZb
— Alex Clay (@cryptclay) October 15, 2025
On-chain signals and liquidity metrics support the technical picture. Market data shows a marked increase in accumulation among long-term holders since the 0.018 BTC trough, while trading volumes on ETH-denominated pairs have risen relative to BTC pairs, consistent with rotation into higher-beta assets. Independent on-chain analytics firms such as Glassnode (plain text reference) and traditional market data providers (plain text reference) report similar upticks in concentration among sustained holders and rising active addresses, which corroborate the recovery thesis.
Could ETH/BTC realistically reach 0.05–0.06 BTC?
Analysts who track liquidity rotation and relative strength identify 0.05–0.06 BTC as plausible targets if current momentum persists. This projection assumes a continued shift of inflows from BTC into ETH and related DeFi/ecosystem exposure, a common mid-cycle dynamic. Historical cycles show that after Bitcoin-led advances, capital often rotates into altcoins, enabling multi-month periods of outperformance for projects with strong fundamentals—Ethereum being the largest such candidate.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did ETH/BTC form a V-shaped recovery from 0.018 BTC?
The V-shaped recovery began after sustained accumulation at lower levels, followed by a concentrated buying surge that drove the pair back toward prior resistance. Weekly closes indicate rejection of the downtrend and a reclaiming of multi-EMA zones, suggesting buyers regained control over sellers in a relatively short period.
Will ETH outperform BTC in the next few months?
If liquidity rotation continues and ETH maintains weekly structure above key EMA clusters, ETH has a higher probability of outperforming BTC during the mid-cycle stage. This answer aligns with technical signals and the current on-chain accumulation trend described by market analysts.
Key Takeaways
- V-shaped recovery confirmed: Weekly action validates near-100% rebound from the 0.018 BTC low and renewed accumulation.
- SuperGuppy breakout matters: Closing above the multi-EMA SuperGuppy signals a shift from bearish to bullish structure on higher timeframes.
- Target and action: Analysts cite 0.05–0.06 BTC as a mid-term target; traders should monitor weekly closes, on-chain accumulation, and liquidity rotation before increasing exposure.
Conclusion
The ETH/BTC pair’s V-shaped recovery and weekly close above the SuperGuppy resistance mark a notable structural change. With supportive on-chain indicators and analyst projections pointing toward 0.05–0.06 BTC as a realistic mid-term objective, ETH appears positioned to capture relative strength if liquidity rotation persists. For continued coverage and data-led analysis, follow COINOTAG’s ongoing reporting and updates.
