Glassnode Flags Bitcoin’s $115,440 MVRV Threshold as Potential Pivot; Hold Could Target $137,300, Failure May Drop to $93,600

  • Key point 1: $115,440 is the pivotal price separating upside continuation from major correction.

  • Key point 2: MVRV Extreme Deviation bands show risk when market price is far above realized value.

  • Key point 3: A drop below $115,440 could target ~$93,600; a hold could reach $137,300 (Glassnode data).

Bitcoin pivotal price $115,440 explained — act fast: read the key scenarios and trade implications with clear signals and next steps.

What is the Bitcoin pivotal price at $115,440 and why does it matter?

Bitcoin pivotal price $115,440 is the threshold identified by MVRV Extreme Deviation bands that separates continued upside from a high-risk correction. If price holds above $115,440, the likely target is $137,300; a failure risks a drop toward $93,600, per on-chain MVRV analysis.

How does MVRV Extreme Deviation signal market risk and opportunity?

MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) compares market price to the aggregate price paid by holders. The Extreme Deviation bands flag when the market is overheated or oversold. Currently, Bitcoin trades well above its realized price of $53,345, indicating elevated distribution risk and emotion-driven flows.

Glassnode’s bands place $115,440 as the pivot. When price sits in the orange band it can either attract sellers locking gains or act as support that encourages fresh buying. Low liquidity, competing ETF inflows, and macro headlines amplify moves around this line.

Why is $115,440 the market’s decision point?

$115,440 aligns with MVRV band boundaries where historical seller activity increases. The metric captures unrealized gains across holders; at current levels — more than double the $53,345 realized price — sentiment is fragile. Institutional ETF flows and macro policy shifts can tip direction quickly.

What are the likely price scenarios?

1) Hold $115,440: Target $137,300 where sellers historically take profits and price consolidates. 2) Break $115,440: A gap opens to roughly $93,600, erasing months of gains and resetting accumulation zones. Monitor volume, realized volatility, and on-chain transfer volumes for confirmation.


Frequently Asked Questions

How reliable is MVRV for timing Bitcoin moves?

MVRV is a strong sentiment and risk indicator because it quantifies unrealized profit across addresses. It’s not a timing tool alone; combine MVRV with liquidity, volume and macro context for higher-confidence signals.

When should investors adjust exposure around $115,440?

Adjust exposure when price breaks decisively with volume confirmation. Use stop-loss rules and scale position changes rather than all-in/all-out moves to manage risk during high volatility periods.

Who provides the MVRV data used in this analysis?

The MVRV bands referenced come from on-chain analytics providers such as Glassnode (mentioned as a data source in plain text). This article converts those data points into actionable scenario levels.

Key Takeaways

  • Pivotal level: $115,440 is the decision line defining bullish continuation vs major correction.
  • Upside target: Holders should watch $137,300 as the next resistance band for profit-taking.
  • Downside risk: A break opens quick downside to about $93,600 — manage positions accordingly.

Conclusion

This analysis centers on the Bitcoin pivotal price $115,440 and the MVRV Extreme Deviation bands that frame short-term risk and reward. Traders and investors should front-load decisions with these levels, monitor liquidity and ETF flows, and prepare for either a momentum continuation or a rapid correction. For continuous updates and deeper on-chain context, follow COINOTAG coverage.

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