- Bloomberg’s senior commodity strategist, Mike McGlone, predicts gold to outperform Bitcoin
- Despite bullish trends in the Bitcoin market, macroeconomic factors may hinder its growth.
- McGlone highlights potential misjudgments in market expectations regarding Federal Reserve policies.
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Amidst changing economic landscapes, Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone anticipates gold to surpass Bitcoin in performance due to macroeconomic and Federal Reserve policy shifts in 2024.
Bitcoin’s 2024 Outlook: Challenges Ahead
Bitcoin, despite its recent positive developments such as the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval and the anticipated Bitcoin halving, faces potential underperformance in 2024. Mike McGlone, Bloomberg’s senior commodity strategist, indicates that macroeconomic factors could inhibit Bitcoin from reaching new heights, particularly in the context of the stock market and risk-adjusted performance.
Federal Reserve’s Role in Bitcoin’s Future
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McGlone points to prevalent market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which traditionally benefit risk-on assets like Bitcoin. However, he believes these expectations might be misplaced. “The Fed will not ease with the ease it has in the past because of inflation it created with easing too much,” McGlone stated in a Cointelegraph interview, suggesting a more conservative approach by the Fed in response to inflation concerns.
Recession Predictions and Impact on Bitcoin
The U.S. economy is expected to enter a recession this year, according to McGlone. This downturn is likely to negatively impact the stock market, and consequently, Bitcoin, which often acts as a leading indicator for risk assets. “When the stock market and beta goes down, Bitcoin goes down more,” McGlone observed, highlighting the cryptocurrency’s sensitivity to broader market trends.
Gold and Treasury Bonds: The Safe Havens of 2024?
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Amidst these economic uncertainties, McGlone forecasts that gold and long Treasury bonds will emerge as the more resilient assets. Their expected stability and reliability contrast sharply with the projected volatility of Bitcoin and other risk-on assets, potentially making them more attractive to investors seeking safer havens during turbulent times.
As the financial landscape evolves, Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone’s insights offer a nuanced perspective on the potential trajectories of Bitcoin and gold in 2024. With macroeconomic factors and Federal Reserve policies playing pivotal roles, investors might witness a shift in asset performance, marking gold and long Treasury bonds as potentially more favorable investments over Bitcoin in the coming year.