HBAR Could See Upside After Bullish Flag as Stablecoin Volatility Persists and ETF Decision Looms

• HBAR formed a bullish flag, target ~$0.3041.

• Stablecoin supply fell from $149M to $69M, highlighting volatility.

• SEC ETF rulings (Solana/XRP in October, potential HBAR decision in November) could shift sentiment.

Hedera HBAR price shows bullish potential with a $0.3041 target; monitor stablecoin supply and the November ETF decision to time positions. Read analysis and key takeaways.

What is driving the Hedera HBAR price outlook?

Hedera HBAR price is currently shaped by a bullish flag chart pattern, a confirmed break-and-retest of support at $0.2288, and broader market catalysts such as looming ETF decisions. These factors, combined with HBAR’s liquidity and >$10 billion market cap, support a bullish scenario while risks remain due to stablecoin volatility.

How significant is the bullish flag and technical setup?

The bullish flag is a continuation pattern suggesting upward momentum after consolidation. Traders note a confirmed break-and-retest near $0.2288 and an Elliott Wave corrective phase that limits retracement beyond 100% of the prior move. Short-term targets align at $0.3041, implying roughly a 28% upside from current levels near $0.24 (as of Sept 21).

How does stablecoin supply volatility affect HBAR?

Stablecoin supply on Hedera has shown sharp swings, dropping from $149 million to $69 million in recent monitoring (plain-text source: DeFi Llama). Such volatility increases short-term risk and liquidity noise, but it has not negated bullish technicals or institutional interest. Market participants should weigh supply data alongside on-chain flows and exchange order books.

When could ETF decisions impact HBAR price?

Regulatory moves on crypto ETFs are likely catalysts. With expected SEC rulings on Solana and XRP ETFs in October and an HBAR decision potentially in November, approval could fast-track institutional inflows. Given HBAR’s high liquidity and market cap above $10 billion, an approved ETF would probably be a strong positive for price and sentiment.

How to interpret the risk/reward and trade the setup?

Use disciplined entries near confirmed support and set stop-losses below the flag invalidation level. Risk management should account for stablecoin supply swings and macro ETF news. Targeting the $0.3041 area offers a clear risk/reward while keeping position sizes aligned with volatility.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will an ETF approval push Hedera HBAR to $0.30?

An ETF approval would likely be a strong bullish catalyst and could help push HBAR toward the $0.3041 target, but market reaction depends on timing, flows, and broader crypto liquidity conditions. Institutional demand would be the key driver.

Is the stablecoin supply drop a sell signal?

A decline from $149M to $69M (plain-text source: DeFi Llama) raises caution but is not an automatic sell signal. Combine supply metrics with price action, order book depth, and on-chain inflows before adjusting positions.

Key Takeaways

• Technical setup: Bullish flag and break-and-retest at $0.2288 suggest continued upside.
• Fundamental catalyst: SEC ETF rulings in Oct–Nov could materially affect sentiment and flows.
• Risk management: Monitor stablecoin supply volatility and maintain strict stops; target $0.3041 for reward planning.

Conclusion

Hedera HBAR price combines a bullish technical pattern with potential fundamental catalysts, notably ETF approvals later in the year. While stablecoin supply volatility raises near-term uncertainty, HBAR’s liquidity and market cap support the case for a measured bullish thesis. Monitor on-chain metrics and regulatory timelines and adjust risk sizing accordingly.