- Analysts predict a delay in the approval of Ethereum spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) until the end of 2025 due to the SEC’s lack of engagement and Ethereum’s uncertain regulatory standing.
- The upcoming US presidential election could potentially change this outlook, especially with the return of Donald Trump, known for his pro-crypto stance.
- Despite the potential for legal action against the SEC, experts believe a similar battle for Ethereum ETFs is unlikely, given Grayscale’s experience with Bitcoin spot ETFs.
Analysts predict a delay in Ethereum spot ETFs until 2025, but the upcoming US presidential election and Trump’s pro-crypto stance could change the game. However, a legal battle against the SEC seems unlikely.
Ethereum Spot ETFs Approval May Be Delayed
Analysts, including Bloomberg Intelligence’s Eric Balchunas, argue that the approval of Ethereum spot ETFs may be delayed until at least the end of 2025. This delay is attributed to the SEC’s lack of engagement with issuers and Ethereum’s uncertain regulatory standing. The ongoing investigation into the Ethereum Foundation by the SEC further bolsters this skepticism.
US Presidential Election Could Be a Game-Changer
However, the upcoming US presidential election could potentially change this outlook. The potential return of Donald Trump to the presidency, known for his pro-crypto stance, could be a game-changer. In a recent interview, Trump asserted that his administration would allow Americans to pay for goods with Bitcoin and promised not to crack down on cryptocurrency. Balchunas remarked, “If there’s a new president, you file again. Maybe you get approved. Or you sue. Either way, that will take a whole other year to play out.”
Legal Action Against SEC Seems Unlikely
Despite the potential for legal action against the SEC, experts believe a similar battle for Ethereum ETFs is unlikely. Grayscale’s successful lawsuit against the SEC for Bitcoin spot ETFs is a case in point. However, Grayscale has already faced over $12 billion in outflows after converting its Bitcoin trust into an ETF.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while the approval of Ethereum spot ETFs may be delayed, the upcoming US presidential election could change this outlook. However, a legal battle against the SEC seems unlikely, given Grayscale’s experience with Bitcoin spot ETFs. The future of Ethereum ETFs hangs in the balance, with the next few years likely to be critical.