Is Cardano (ADA) Positioned for a Potential Move Toward $1.20 Amid Rising Investor Confidence?

• Cardano’s ADA shows signs of bullish momentum, with rising investor sentiment and technical indicators suggesting potential price recovery.

• Whale investors appear to be retracting, while retail participation surges, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics.

• According to COINOTAG, “Cardano’s structural base is strengthening, pointing to a promising outlook as retail investors propel market activity.”

Cardano’s ADA shows bullish signs with rising retail engagement and key technical indicators suggesting it could challenge $1.20 soon.

Technical structure aligns with bullish momentum

ADA reclaimed both its 9-day and 21-day Moving Averages (MA), sitting at $0.6434 and $0.6301, respectively, at press time.

These levels serve as dynamic support, laying the groundwork for a potential price recovery. The Parabolic SAR has flipped below the price at $0.6153, signaling continued bullish momentum. However, ADA must surpass the $0.7626 resistance level, which has limited multiple bullish attempts in recent months.

A decisive breakout above this zone, especially with strong trading volume, could pave the way toward $1.20—a key psychological level likely to drive further interest among traders.

Source: TradingView

ADA on-chain signals support the accumulation narrative

Meanwhile, on-chain exchange activity further strengthens the bullish outlook. At the time of writing, spot exchange flows showed that $16.44 million worth of ADA exited trading platforms, compared to $13.41 million in inflows.

This net withdrawal indicates that holders are moving their tokens into long-term storage or DeFi protocols, a behavior commonly associated with accumulation rather than distribution.

Source: CoinGlass

Furthermore, the Total Value Locked (TVL) in Cardano-based DeFi stood at $395.43 million, dipping just 2% in 24 hours. While this decline may reflect minor repositioning, it does not align with panic-driven selling, especially when considered alongside consistent outflows and rising sentiment.

Transaction activity sees retail rise as whales retreat

Network activity paints a mixed picture. Transactions below the $1 threshold have surged by 250%, suggesting that grassroots participation is on the rise. However, the higher-value transaction bands—ranging from $100k to $10 million—have declined by over 80%.

That said, it appears retail and dApp-level users are stepping in, likely laying the groundwork for a broader demand wave. If sentiment remains elevated, whales may re-enter, propelling further upside.

Source: IntoTheBlock

Investor composition reveals growing retail conviction

In fact, ownership distribution further supports the narrative of shifting market dynamics. Over the last thirty days, whale holdings have dropped by 1.68%, while long-term investor participation has increased by 1.60%. Retail addresses also saw a 0.72% uptick.

This redistribution suggests that ADA is transitioning into the hands of more committed and smaller-scale investors. Although whales appear to be reducing exposure, the strengthening base formed by investors and retail participants may serve as a solid launchpad for the next leg upward.

Source: IntoTheBlock

ADA is likely to reclaim $0.70 and test higher levels

ADA appears poised to reclaim the $0.70 mark soon, driven by bullish sentiment, solid technicals, exchange outflows, and retail momentum. The current market structure supports a move toward $0.70, with a potential breakout past $0.7626 if momentum holds steady. Cardano seems positioned to recover key levels and may begin a broader upward trend in the near term.