Lower CPI Print Could Ignite Bitcoin Rally, Analyst Suggests Possibilities Ahead of February 12 Release

• As the Crypto market watches closely, analysts suggest a potential shift in Bitcoin’s trajectory linked to upcoming US inflation data.

• The focus is on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could signal a critical turn for cryptocurrencies if inflation rates deviate from expectations.

• According to Markus Thielen from 10x Research, “There is a real possibility of a lower print, which could ignite another rally,” indicating a bullish sentiment among traders.

As Bitcoin awaits critical CPI data, analysts predict a possible price rally could occur depending on inflation trends. Read more for insights!

Bitcoin Rally Potential Linked to Anticipated CPI Data

In the world of cryptocurrency, anticipation builds as we approach the US Bureau of Statistics’ Consumer Price Index (CPI) report scheduled for February 12. Most analysts, including Markus Thielen from 10x Research, expect an inflation rate of 2.9% year-on-year. However, there are emerging signals that the actual figure could be lower, potentially igniting a significant rally in Bitcoin prices.

Thielen notes that the US Truflation Inflation Index, which provides real-time inflation tracking, has dropped from 3.0% to 2.1%. This decline suggests inflation may be easing faster than anticipated, leading Thielen to posit that if the CPI surprises at 2.7% or 2.8%, we could witness significant price movement in Bitcoin.

The market responded positively to January’s CPI data, which defied expectations and led to a remarkable increase in Bitcoin’s value. Thielen indicated that the relief from those surprise figures contributed to a nearly $10,000 surge in Bitcoin, positioning it above the key psychological level of $100,000.

The Potential Impact of a Lower CPI on Bitcoin Prices

Should the upcoming CPI report show lower inflation than forecasted, it might provide the necessary momentum for a rally similar to January’s surge. Market participants look back at that period when expectations of rising prices were met with a flat CPI, resulting in buoyant investor sentiment. If the CPI today echoes that pattern, it could result in renewed investor confidence that drives up Bitcoin prices beyond recent levels.

The recent price action in Bitcoin, currently trading at $95,490, shows a modest decline of 2.65% over the preceding week, raising questions about its immediate trajectory. Analysts like Michaël van de Poppe suggest that positive CPI results could elevate Bitcoin toward new all-time highs, especially as gold experiences a strong market resurgence.

The Link Between Bitcoin Performance and Market Sentiment

Investor sentiment is critical in cryptocurrency trading, and the upcoming CPI report is bound to shape this outlook significantly. With platforms like X hosting ongoing polls, such as the one conducted by Benjamin Cowen, where over 51.7% of participants expected the price to rise following CPI announcements, there is a palpable bullish sentiment among active traders.

As Bitcoin nears its previous all-time high of $109,000, achieved shortly before political shifts in the US, another surge could not only bring it closer to that mark but also reset market expectations. The current trading conditions, juxtaposed with inflation dynamics, underscore the intricate relationship between economic indicators and cryptocurrency valuations.

Conclusion

In summary, the upcoming CPI report could very well set the stage for a significant shift in Bitcoin prices. With signals suggesting a possible decrease in inflation rates, traders and analysts await the February 12 release with bated breath. If inflation is shown to be less aggressive than expected, Bitcoin could see a renewal of momentum that pushes it closer to previous highs, revitalizing market enthusiasm. Investors should remain vigilant as these developments unfold.