Solana price prediction: SOL could reach $215 in September and $250 by Q4 2025, driven by protocol upgrades, expected ETF inflows and crypto treasury demand. However, a 90% decline in active traders and weak September seasonals could limit near-term gains and increase downside risk.
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SOL could tag $215 in September and $250 by Q4 2025 if ETF inflows and protocol upgrades materialize.
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Network activity has declined ~90% from peak trader counts, reducing short-term demand pressure for SOL.
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August delivered a 16% gain; Q3 returns sit near 30%, while liquidity clusters at $160–$180 present key support/resistance zones.
Solana price prediction: SOL could hit $215 in September, $250 in Q4 2025 — watch network activity and liquidity clusters. Read the full outlook and key levels.
What is the Solana price prediction for September–Q4 2025?
Solana price prediction: Analysts project SOL may reach about $215 before the end of September and $250 by the end of Q4 2025, supported by protocol upgrades, potential ETF-related inflows and institutional treasury demand. Near-term downside risk is elevated due to a sharp fall in active network traders and historical September weakness.
How has Solana network activity changed and why does it matter?
Solana network activity has contracted sharply; active trader counts fell from over 30 million in Q4 2024 to roughly 3 million by September 2025. This ~90% decline lowers on-chain transaction demand and DEX traction, which can reduce short-term buying pressure and amplify sell-side liquidity clusters around key price zones.
Key Takeaways
SOL could extend its Q3 recovery to $215, before eyeing $250, according to MEXC’s chief analyst. But can bulls outrun September weak seasonals and declining network activity?
In August, Solana (SOL) locked in a 16% gain, bringing Q3 returns to 30%.
Despite historically weak September performance, MEXC’s chief analyst, Shawn Young, projected the altcoin could tag $215, implying a possible additional 7% gain into late September.
In a statement, Young said the recent Alpenglow upgrade—promising a 100x speed improvement—alongside expected ETF inflows and over $1.7B in crypto treasury demand could drive the recovery.
“The alignment of technical innovation, structural accumulation, and ETF-related inflows raises the stakes for SOL, setting the stage for an inflection point in adoption and price discovery,” Young said.
Young added, “These catalysts could see SOL price rise as high as $215 before the end of September and $250 before the end of Q4, provided macro headwinds don’t return to the market.”
Some market participants expect SOL to rally toward $300 by year-end. Short-term, however, the dramatic decline in network activity raises questions about demand sustainability.
How severe is the drop in Solana network activity?
Network activity on Solana has reportedly dropped by ~90%. The number of traders on the chain declined from over 30 million at the peak of Q4 2024 to about 3 million as of September 2025. This slowdown in DEX traction and user activity can weigh on token demand and make short-term rallies more fragile.
Source: Dune Analytics (on-chain metrics cited as a plain-text source)
Analyst Ted Pillows noted a large liquidity cluster at $160–$180 could be tested before SOL attempts a new all-time high in Q4. “I think SOL could sweep the downside liquidity in September before a new ATH in Q4,” he said.
Source: CoinAnk (chart and liquidity analysis cited as a plain-text source)
The largest lower liquidity cluster concentrated around $170–$175, making that area a critical support zone in the event of a pullback. Price action has shown rejections at the upper limit of the ascending triangle and the Bollinger Bands, suggesting supply may emerge near $215–$220 on short-term advances.
Source: SOL/USDT, TradingView (chart source cited as plain text)
Frequently Asked Questions
Will protocol upgrades like Alpenglow move SOL price higher?
Protocol upgrades that materially improve throughput and utility can raise on-chain demand and developer interest. Alpenglow’s speed claims, if validated in production, are a bullish adoption signal but must coincide with higher user activity to sustainably lift SOL.
How should traders manage risk if activity remains low?
Use size limits, position stop-losses near key support ($170–$180) and scale entries around confirmed liquidity sweeps. Monitor macro conditions and ETF flow updates for catalysts that can rapidly change market structure.
Key Takeaways
- Potential upside: SOL could reach $215 in September and $250 in Q4 if ETF inflows and protocol upgrades boost demand.
- Primary risk: A ~90% decline in active traders and weak September seasonals could cap rallies and prompt pullbacks to $160–$180.
- Actionable insight: Watch liquidity clusters, Bollinger Band supports and ETF flow indicators before increasing exposure.
Conclusion
The Solana price prediction balances optimistic catalysts — Alpenglow, ETF-related inflows and institutional demand — against a stark drop in network activity and seasonal risk. Traders should weigh upside targets of $215 and $250 against key supports at $160–$180 and use disciplined risk management. For updates and on-chain data, refer to Dune Analytics, TradingView and market commentary from exchange analysts cited above.
