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Toncoin has entered a low-risk buying zone as its normalized risk dropped significantly, sparking renewed interest from investors.
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The altcoin surged by over 5% in just 24 hours, demonstrating a strong recovery from previous bearish trends and signaling potential for further gains.
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As CryptoQuant analyst Dark Fost notes, the return of buying pressure is a crucial indicator of Toncoin’s potential upward trajectory.
This article analyzes Toncoin’s recent surge, highlighting key indicators that suggest a bullish trend as it enters a low-risk buying zone for investors.
Toncoin’s Buying Zone: Analyzing Market Sentiment
According to CryptoQuant, Toncoin’s normalized risk metrics have entered an encouraging buying zone, dropping below the crucial threshold of 0.2. This transition into a low-risk area is fostering renewed optimism among traders and investors, potentially shifting market dynamics in favor of buyers.

Source: CryptoQuant
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Historically, the normalized risk indicator has offered significant insights into Toncoin’s price movements. Whenever this metric reached a low-risk zone, markets have historically experienced mid-term reversals, culminating in positive price adjustments. The recent shift marks a critical juncture, as Toncoin’s Open Interest has also seen a significant reduction from over -100 million to approximately -15 million.

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Source: CryptoQuant
This change indicates a potential transition from a bearish sentiment to a more neutral or bullish market environment. The increased Open Interest can be indicative of the influx of capital, suggesting a recovery phase for Toncoin.
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Are We Witnessing a Trend Reversal for Toncoin?
The entry of Toncoin into a low-risk buying zone has been pivotal, encouraging buyers to re-engage with the market. This resurgence in buying activity is actively driving price increases. According to COINOTAG’s recent analysis, TON has encountered significant upward momentum, accentuated by strengthening buying pressures.

Source: TradingView
Confirming this trend, a notable bullish crossover has emerged on Toncoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI), an indication that buyer interest is exceeding seller activity and market control is shifting towards bullish participants. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is approaching another bullish crossover, providing additional validation for a potential continuation of the uptrend.
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Source: Coinglass
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Nonetheless, analysis indicates that Toncoin’s spot netflow remains negative, revealing a greater outflow of tokens from exchanges compared to incoming flows over the past week. This trend reflects cautious sentiment among smaller investors.

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Source: IntoTheBlock
Interestingly, there appears to be a contrasting trend among larger holders, known as whales. A pronounced increase in netflow among large holders has surged from -12.67 million to +15.15 million, demonstrating a significant accumulation of Toncoin by these investors.
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Toncoin is witnessing substantial recovery as buyer sentiment strengthens. With the asset now positioned in a low-risk investment zone, market observers are bullish and anticipate potential price increases.
If the current trends hold, Toncoin could aim for a target of $5.83, a significant psychological barrier that may pave the way to the coveted $6 resistance level. Nonetheless, if buying interest begins to wane, the altcoin could retrace to a lower support around $5.03.
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Conclusion
In summary, Toncoin’s recent price movement and normalization of risk present a favorable outlook for investors. The strong re-entry of buying activity combined with strategic indicators suggests a turning tide in market sentiment. However, staying informed and cautious remains essential as market dynamics continue to evolve.
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🧱 Consistency over hype |
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🕒 Patience is an edge |
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