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Toncoin [TON] faces significant challenges as small holder addresses increase, while whale activity indicates continued selling pressure in the market.
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Recent data reveals a decline in both active addresses and network growth, offering a cautious outlook for potential buyers in the mid-term.
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Notably, Toncoin’s price action is influenced by market sentiments, with analysts like Ali Martinez highlighting a potential for an imminent volatility surge.
Toncoin trends towards bearish territory as small holdings grow and whale sell-offs persist, raising caution for potential buyers.
Current State of Toncoin Amidst Selling Pressure
Toncoin, which rose in popularity during its previous high near $7.5, has since retreated significantly. The current market conditions depict increased market uncertainty. The network is now witnessing a **marked decline** in its daily active addresses, falling below the substantial activity seen in August. This trend is corroborated by the new addresses created metric, which has remained stagnant since early October.
Network Metrics Indicate Weak Participation from Investors
According to data sourced from Santiment, Toncoin’s active addresses peaked previously in August but have since not recovered from their downturn. The recent price rallies have failed to drive significant interest, suggesting that investors either lack conviction or are on the sidelines as they await clearer market indicators. The suppression of network growth is alarming, as it signifies diminishing interest from new participants, a critical aspect for any cryptocurrency’s long-term viability.
Price Action Reflecting a Bearish Structure

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Source: Santiment
The price action of Toncoin has drawn concern among traders as it has breached previous support levels. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) has fallen below its November lows, a signal that selling volume has outpaced buying activity. The price has retested the key support level around $3.42, aligned with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a crucial level traders often look to defend. However, the overall market dynamics, particularly whale selling pressures, indicate a bearish sentiment is prevailing.
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Outlook for Toncoin in Light of Current Trends
The market outlook for Toncoin remains cautious. Analysts point out that the prevailing sentiment could shift should we witness improvements in Bitcoin’s price movement, potentially reigniting altcoin interest. Until traders can reclaim critical resistance levels, such as $4.5, the prevailing bias remains bearish.
Conclusion
In summary, Toncoin’s trajectory appears daunting as rising small holder participation coincides with sustained selling pressure from larger holders. The declining network metrics, coupled with the current price action, suggest that potential buyers should exercise caution. Until there are promising signs in buyer strength and network growth, positioning within Toncoin remains risky in this market landscape.
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