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Toncoin (TON) has recently surged over 27%, breaking out from a descending triangle and signaling a potential upward movement towards new price levels.
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The cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum could lead to new highs as it tests critical support and resistance zones while also facing liquidation risks for large leveraged positions.
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“The market dynamics have shifted significantly,” noted a COINOTAG analyst, emphasizing the importance of tracking the liquidity levels around $5.85 and $6.32.
Toncoin’s recent surge hints at a bullish trend, with potential price targets approaching $9 amid critical liquidity zones and active trader sentiment.
Breakout Analysis: Toncoin’s Technical Surge
Toncoin’s impressive 27% rally marks a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency, as it successfully broke free from a symmetrical triangle pattern—a formation often associated with significant price movements. This breakout not only indicates a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish but also suggests a possible local top at the $6.32 level, where price action has recently paused.
The previous downtrend, characterized by lower highs, has been disrupted, leading to increased optimism among traders. A substantial green candle has showcased intense buying pressure, reinforcing the bullish outlook and indicating that traders are actively seeking to capitalize on the favorable market conditions.
MACD Confirmation and Future Outlook
Supporting this bullish trend, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has confirmed a bullish crossover. This technical indicator is a critical tool for traders, suggesting that further upward movement is possible if Toncoin maintains its current levels of support. Market watchers are now speculating whether this momentum can propel TON towards the $9 target.
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Analyzing TON Liquidation Risks
As Toncoin approaches key resistance levels, the TON/USDT pair has been experiencing notable volatility around specific liquidation points. Large leveraged positions are at risk of being liquidated at critical levels, particularly around $5.85 and $6.32, where significant amounts—approximately $915K and $701K, respectively—are at stake.

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Source: Coinglass
The market’s liquidity dynamics, as illustrated in the heatmap, reveal densely packed liquidity zones around these levels. This setup indicates that either a rebound or a significant price drop could occur, depending on trader sentiment, making these points critical for monitoring future price movements.
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Profitability Among Active Addresses
In addition to the technical analysis, the sentiment among Toncoin holders appears positive, with approximately 32.64% of addresses currently ‘In the Money’. With around 298K addresses benefiting from current price levels, this could encourage further price increases as more traders engage with the market.

Source: IntoTheBlock
Further analysis shows that 66.71% of holders are ‘At the Money’, indicating that traders may be poised to either take profits or hold for further gains as the price evolves. Notably, only 0.65% of addresses are ‘Out of the Money’, suggesting minimal immediate selling pressure, which supports a favorable outlook for Toncoin’s potential upward trajectory toward the $9 mark.
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Conclusion
In summary, the recent surge of Toncoin indicates a significant turning point for the cryptocurrency, fueled by positive trader sentiment and favorable technical indicators. With critical liquidation zones to watch and a large percentage of holders currently profitable, the stage is set for potential further gains. As Toncoin navigates these complexities, traders should remain vigilant about market dynamics and liquidity levels to capitalize on the opportunity ahead.
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