TRON Futures Surge and $23B USDT Spike Could Precede a TRX Rally Amid Spot Selling Pressure

• 170% Futures Netflow surge to $7.48M shows strong buyer dominance

• Spot markets show seller pressure despite netflow briefly flipping positive

• USDT supply on TRON at $23B signals increasing on‑chain demand and activity

TRON Futures Netflow surge: TRX buyers dominate futures, USDT supply spikes to $23B — monitor spot pressure and $0.37 resistance for next move. Read on for data and takeaways.

What is TRON Futures Netflow and why does the 170% surge matter?

TRON Futures Netflow measures capital moving into futures contracts for TRX and reflects directional trader demand. A 170% surge to $7.48M indicates concentrated buyer activity in derivatives, increasing upside pressure on TRX if spot liquidity holds and Futures funding remains supportive.

How has futures vs spot behavior diverged recently?

Futures show clear buyer dominance: Taker CVD (90D) turned green for three consecutive days, mirroring past runs that preceded price gains. In contrast, Spot Taker CVD (90) has been negative over 30 days, indicating sellers have been more aggressive on the spot order book.

Buyers take over TRON’s Futures market — what data supports this?

CryptoQuant analyst Burak Kesmeci observed TRON’s Taker CVD (90D) entering green territory for three straight days — only the second occurrence in 2025. Historically, similar green stretches aligned with upward price moves.

CoinGlass data shows Futures inflow outpaced outflows, with inflows around $75.38M versus $67.91M in outflows during the same window. This net positive flow coincides with the Futures Netflow jumping 170% to $7.48M.

Source: CryptoQuant (data provider)

How is the spot market behaving and why does that matter?

Spot markets have seen more aggressive selling: Spot Taker CVD (90) remained negative over the past 30 days, indicating sellers hit bids more often than buyers lifted asks.

Despite recent flips, TRON’s Spot Netflow only recently turned positive after two days of negative readings. CoinGlass reports spot inflows of $52.24M versus $51.19M in outflows, producing a netflow near $1.05M.

Source: CryptoQuant (data provider)

Source: CoinGlass (data provider)

User activity: How significant is the USDT supply increase on TRON?

On‑chain monitors report USDT supply on TRON has climbed to about $23 billion in 2025, per Darkfrost data. Historically, larger stablecoin supply on a chain correlates with increased trading and DeFi activity, which can support native token demand.

Source: Darkfrost (data provider)

Is a rally coming for TRX?

Combined signals point to conditional bullish potential. Strong Futures demand plus rising USDT liquidity on TRON increases the odds of a breakout for TRX toward near‑term resistance at $0.37.

However, spot seller dominance and persistent negative Spot Taker CVD could keep TRX rangebound. Key levels to watch: support near $0.344 and resistance around $0.37.

Key Takeaways

• Futures dominance: A 170% Netflow surge to $7.48M shows concentrated buyer activity in TRX futures.
• Spot pressure: Spot Taker CVD remained negative, indicating sellers have pressured the spot market recently.
• On‑chain liquidity: USDT supply on TRON at ~$23B signals increased network demand and liquidity for TRX trading.

Conclusion

TRON’s recent flows reveal a split market: strong futures buying and rising USDT liquidity support TRX upside, while spot selling poses short‑term risk. Monitor Futures Netflow, Spot Taker CVD, and USDT supply trends for confirmation; sustained buying could push TRX toward $0.37, while renewed spot selling would likely keep it rangebound.

Publication date: 2025-09-15 — Author: COINOTAG — Sources: CryptoQuant, CoinGlass, Darkfrost (data providers)