• TRX holds key support at $0.31–$0.33, providing a base for a potential rebound.

• Derivatives show taker-buy dominance and a 1.53 long/short ratio, indicating bullish positioning.

• Active addresses climbed to nearly four million since 2020; TRX rose from $0.004 to $0.38 amid growing DeFi utility.

TRX price consolidates at $0.31 with bullish derivatives flows and growing on-chain usage—monitor $0.31 support for a potential rebound toward $0.40. Read the latest COINOTAG analysis.

Published: 2025-10-15 | Updated: 2025-10-15 · By COINOTAG

What is the current TRX price outlook?

TRX price is currently stabilizing around $0.31 after recent volatility, supported by rising active addresses and strong DeFi transfer activity. Short-term momentum will depend on whether buyers can reclaim $0.33; holding $0.31 keeps a rebound toward $0.37–$0.40 plausible while a break lower could deepen correction.

How has Tron’s network growth influenced TRX price momentum?

Tron’s ecosystem expansion is measurable: active addresses rose from several hundred thousand in early 2020 to nearly four million by 2025, while TRX advanced from $0.004 to highs near $0.38. These metrics reflect increased utility—stablecoin transfers and DeFi interactions now account for a larger share of on-chain activity. According to on-chain data providers (plain text mention: TradingView; CryptoQuant), this growth has improved on-chain liquidity and contributed to stronger accumulation during dips. In short, network adoption has bolstered the token’s structural bullish case.

On-chain positioning and price structure

TRX recently fell below an ascending trendline but found buyers in the $0.31–$0.32 zone, an area that previously served as an accumulation band. The stabilization suggests selling pressure may be easing. Technical indicators—for example, Stochastic RSI near 26 at the time of analysis—point to short-term oversold conditions that often precede rebounds.

Near-term scenarios to watch:

• Bull case: Buyers reclaim $0.33 and the 21-day moving average, enabling a run toward $0.37–$0.40.
• Bear case: A decisive break below $0.30 could trigger a deeper corrective phase and force leveraged deleveraging.

How are derivatives traders positioned right now?

Derivatives flows are showing accumulation: the 90-day Futures Taker CVD indicates taker-buy dominance, meaning aggressive buy orders have outweighed sells over that period (plain text mention: CryptoQuant). On Binance, long accounts comprise 60.47% of positions versus 39.53% short, producing a 1.53 long/short ratio (plain text mention: CoinGlass and Binance data). This alignment between spot accumulation and derivatives buying suggests traders are positioning for a recovery, though sentiment remains fragile amid volatility.

Source: TradingView

Buyers regain control as futures taker CVD turns dominant

The 90-day Futures Taker CVD shows consistent taker-buy dominance, a sign that aggressive buyers have been more active in the futures market. Historically, extended periods of taker-buy dominance have coincided with leveraged accumulation ahead of rallies (plain text mention: CryptoQuant historical readings). This trend indicates growing conviction from derivatives traders, but it is sensitive to sudden volatility spikes that can reverse sentiment quickly.

Source: CryptoQuant

Binance derivatives and trader exposure

Binance position data shows a 60.47% long composition versus 39.53% short, producing a 1.53 long/short ratio. This skew toward longs complements the taker-buy readings and points to a market consensus that TRX is more likely to rebound than break down further—provided macro liquidity and risk appetite remain stable. Plain text mentions used for data attribution: CoinGlass, Binance.

Source: CoinGlass

Can TRX reignite its rally toward $0.40?

Tron’s improving on-chain fundamentals—rising active addresses and higher stablecoin/DeFi transfer volume—create a constructive backdrop for TRX price appreciation. If TRX maintains support above $0.31 and derivatives buy-side momentum persists, a move into the $0.37–$0.40 range is attainable. Conversely, a break below $0.30 would likely trigger consolidation or deeper correction before any renewed rally.

COINOTAG market analyst: “The current setup favors disciplined accumulation around $0.31 provided liquidity conditions hold; traders should monitor open interest and taker CVD for confirmation of a sustainable breakout.”

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main support and resistance levels for TRX right now?

Support: $0.31–$0.32 (current accumulation zone) and $0.30 below that. Resistance: $0.33 (near-term reclamation level) and the $0.37–$0.40 band for a sustained rebound. Monitor volume and derivatives flows for validation.

How quickly could TRX move to $0.40 if momentum returns?

If buyers reclaim $0.33 with rising open interest and continued taker-buy dominance, TRX could test $0.37 within days and push toward $0.40 over several sessions; the timeline depends on market liquidity and macro risk sentiment.

Key Takeaways

• Support holds: $0.31–$0.33 is a critical zone that has historically attracted buyers.
• Derivatives confirm bias: Taker-buy dominance and a 1.53 long/short ratio point to bullish trader positioning.
• Actionable insight: Traders should watch open interest, taker CVD, and the 21-day MA for signals before increasing exposure.

Conclusion

TRX price is in a consolidation phase backed by measurable network growth and positive derivatives flows. The combination of rising active addresses, sustained DeFi utility, and a bullish long/short ratio supports a medium-term recovery scenario. Traders and investors should monitor the $0.31 support and derivatives confirmation for directional conviction. COINOTAG will continue to track on-chain metrics and market structure as the story unfolds.