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U.S. Stock Sell-Off Pulls Bitcoin to $85,000 Amid Widening Credit Spreads and Macro Fears

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(04:48 AM UTC)
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  • U.S. equity markets lost $2.7 trillion in market cap.

  • The S&P 500 dropped nearly 4%, with Nvidia shares falling over 8%.

  • Crypto markets saw $829 million in liquidations, per CoinGecko data.

Bitcoin sell-off shakes crypto markets amid U.S. stock plunge and rising credit spreads. Discover key drivers, expert insights, and what’s next for Bitcoin price. Stay informed on macroeconomic impacts.

What Caused the Recent Bitcoin Sell-Off?

Bitcoin sell-off intensified on Thursday following a broad U.S. stock market downturn, erasing recent gains and amplifying fears across risk assets. Widening U.S. credit spreads and overextended market rallies contributed to the volatility, with Bitcoin dipping to $85,000, its lowest since April, amid $829 million in liquidations reported by CoinGecko. This event reflects broader macroeconomic pressures, including divided Federal Reserve views on rate cuts and strong jobs data from the November report.

How Are Widening U.S. Credit Spreads Impacting Crypto Markets?

U.S. credit spreads, the yield difference between corporate bonds and Treasuries, have widened slightly, signaling heightened investor risk perception and potential economic slowdowns. According to Bloomberg data, this contributed to a $2.7 trillion market-cap wipeout in U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 falling nearly 4% after an initial rally faded. In crypto, this translated to Bitcoin’s sharp decline and spiked liquidations.

Peter Chung, head of research at Presto Research, highlighted the under-discussed risks in private credit as noted by Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. “Looming risk in private credit remains an under-discussed topic,” Chung said, emphasizing how these factors could influence Federal Reserve decisions.

Jay Jo, senior research analyst at Tiger Research, pointed to the November jobs report released on December 16 by the Bureau of Labor Statistics as a partial catalyst. “Strong jobs data and Lisa Cook’s comments raised macroeconomic risk, pushing markets into a short-term correction,” Jo explained. The report showed robust employment figures, reducing expectations for immediate rate cuts.

Tim Sun, senior researcher at HashKey Group, described the drop as driven more by sentiment and liquidity than specific news. “U.S. credit spreads have widened slightly but remain moderate, with limited systemic stress,” Sun noted. He attributed the initial sell-off to investors unwinding put hedges after Nvidia’s earnings and the payrolls data, leading to a volatility crush and forced selling by market makers. Trend-following algorithms then exacerbated the decline as prices breached key technical levels.

Overall, these dynamics underscore the interconnectedness of traditional finance and crypto, where equity market jitters quickly spill over. Historical data from similar periods shows that widening spreads often precede broader risk-off moves, though current levels do not indicate severe systemic issues yet. Experts like Sun suggest that while the immediate trigger was mechanical, ongoing macroeconomic data will dictate the trajectory.

Frequently Asked Questions

What Triggered the U.S. Stock Market Sell-Off Affecting Bitcoin?

The sell-off stemmed from a mix of strong November jobs data, cautious Federal Reserve comments, and technical factors like options expiry and Nvidia earnings reactions. This led to a sentiment shift, with the S&P 500 dropping 4% and Bitcoin following suit to $85,000 levels, marking over $800 million in crypto liquidations.

Will the Federal Reserve Cut Rates in December Amid This Bitcoin Sell-Off?

Odds of a December rate cut have fallen to 35%, per the CME FedWatch tool, as officials remain divided following strong employment figures. If private credit risks escalate, it could sway the Fed toward easing, potentially benefiting Bitcoin and other risk assets in the long term.

Key Takeaways

  • Macroeconomic Pressures Dominate: Widening credit spreads and jobs data highlight economic uncertainties driving the Bitcoin sell-off across risk assets.
  • Sentiment in Extreme Fear: Investor gauges show heightened caution, with U.S. equities and crypto entering “extreme fear” despite the S&P 500 being near peaks.
  • Watch Upcoming Data: Future economic releases could signal rate cut possibilities, offering potential relief for Bitcoin prices if positive for easing.

Conclusion

The recent Bitcoin sell-off exemplifies how U.S. credit spreads widening and equity market volatility can rapidly impact crypto, erasing gains and fueling liquidations. With experts from Presto Research and HashKey Group pointing to a blend of macro fears and technical forces, the path forward hinges on Federal Reserve signals and economic indicators. As year-end rebalancing looms, investors should monitor liquidity dynamics closely, positioning for potential recoveries if rate cut prospects brighten. Stay vigilant on these evolving crypto market trends to navigate the uncertainties ahead.

Marisol Navaro

Marisol Navaro

Marisol Navaro is a young 21-year-old writer who is passionate about following in Satoshi's footsteps in the cryptocurrency industry. With a drive to learn and understand the latest trends and developments, Marisol provides fresh insights and perspectives on the world of cryptocurrency.
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