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- Vodafone Idea’s stock is predicted to have a 100% potential upside, according to Citi Research.
- The global brokerage house has set a target price of ₹25 for the stock, a 97% increase from its current market price of ₹12.7.
- This bull case scenario is based on assumptions such as higher tariff hikes, increased subscriber additions, and a significant decline in AGR debt.
Vodafone Idea’s stock is predicted to have a significant potential upside, according to Citi Research, with a target price set at ₹25, a 97% increase from its current market price.
Citi Research’s Bull Case Scenario for Vodafone Idea
Citi Research has expressed optimism for Vodafone Idea’s stock, predicting a potential upside of almost 100% in its bull case scenario. This is based on a target price of ₹25 for the stock, indicating a 97% increase from its current market price of ₹12.7. The key assumptions behind this bull case scenario include higher tariff hikes of 20% each, leading to an FY28E ARPU (average revenue per user) of ₹250, higher subscriber additions, a decline in AGR (adjusted gross revenue) debt by over 50% (₹35,000 crore), and a FY28E net debt/EBITDA ratio of 5x.
Vodafone Idea’s Turnaround and Future Outlook
Recent developments have been encouraging for Vodafone Idea, with the ₹20,000 crore equity raise enabling the company to accelerate network investments and narrow the gap with peers on 4G coverage and 5G rollouts. However, the brokerage cautions that a lot still needs to fall into place, including tariff hikes and arresting the subscriber decline. The company’s future outlook is contingent on industry dynamics, continued government support, and its own execution.
Conclusion
While Vodafone Idea’s stock shows promise, Citi Research maintains a Neutral/High-Risk rating for the stock. The risk/reward is not yet compelling, and the brokerage prefers to stay on the sidelines for now, closely monitoring developments. The stock’s returns are contingent on not just industry dynamics and continued government support, but also the company’s execution. Despite the challenges, the recent equity raise and government backing have provided Vodafone Idea a fresh lease of life, setting it up for a potential turnaround.
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