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Whale accumulation trends indicate potential bullish momentum for XRP as over 1 billion tokens were amassed in just two days.
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The SEC has postponed its decision on Franklin Templeton’s spot XRP ETF until June, intensifying market focus. 
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Bloomberg cites an 85% approval probability for a U.S. spot XRP ETF, heightening investor optimism. 
This article explores recent whale activity and SEC developments surrounding XRP, suggesting a significant market shift may be on the horizon.
SEC Delays ETFs and Market Reactions
The recent decision by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to postpone its ruling on several crypto ETFs, including Franklin Templeton’s spot XRP ETF, has stirred discussions across the market. The decision, postponed to June 17, is crucial as it affects not just XRP but a broader landscape of cryptocurrencies aiming for ETF approval. Analysts were not surprised; the SEC’s increased scrutiny on cryptocurrency funds has been a recurring theme in the industry.

  
  
    
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Source: SEC (Excerpt on Franklin’s XRP ETF delay)
Even alongside delays, industry experts maintain a positive outlook. Bloomberg’s ETF analyst James Seyffart expects such postponements as the agency seeks to make well-informed regulatory decisions. He noted that the main deadline for several ETF applications remains in October, suggesting the regulatory landscape may clear in the latter half of the year.
  
  
    
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Market Sentiment and Predictions
With the delays, the market sentiment around ETFs has remained buoyed. ETF Store’s Nate Geraci expressed optimism, stating, “I still think all altcoin ETFs, including staking and in-kind creations/redemption, will be approved this year.” Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas echoed this sentiment, asserting that applications are likely to face approval soon, with overall odds for XRP and DOGE ETFs ranging between 80% and 85%.

  
  
    
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Source: Bloomberg
As anticipation grows, Scott Johnson, a finance lawyer and investor in crypto, suggested that approvals may start appearing by June or July, coinciding with the crucial deadlines for XRP ETFs. He noted, “The party starts end of June/early July. Avalanche of approvals after.” This perspective aligns with the significant uptick in whale activities observed recently.
Whale Accumulation Insights
Recent data from Santiment revealed remarkable whale activity within the XRP community. A significant cohort, holding between 100 million and 1 billion XRP tokens, has increased its holdings by over 1 billion tokens within a mere two days, raising their total from 8.16 billion to 9.16 billion XRP. This accumulation has crucial implications, indicating confidence among large investors amid regulatory uncertainty.

  
  
    
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Source: Santiment
Despite increasing whale activity, XRP faces resistance around the $2.4-$2.5 mark, presenting a critical barrier for potential bullish movements. If Bitcoin’s consolidation around $95K persists, XRP might trade in a range of $2.1 to $2.4 in the short to medium term.
  
  
    
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Source: XRP/USDT, TradingView
  
  
    
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Conclusion
In summary, the SEC’s delay on ETF decisions, combined with significant whale accumulation, paints an intriguing picture for XRP. Investors are advised to monitor upcoming deadlines closely, as regulatory approvals could precipitate notable price movements. The environment remains dynamic, and staying informed will be vital for market participants.
  
  
    
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