XRP Could Face Key Support Test Near $2 Ahead of FOMC Meeting Amid Market Uncertainty

• XRP faces critical price action as it attempts to hold above the $2 mark amid geopolitical tensions and the upcoming FOMC meeting.

• Despite a $22 million liquidation event, XRP’s resilience is supported by significant corporate treasury interest and increased options market activity.

• According to COINOTAG, the surge in options volume and the entry of Nasdaq-listed firms into XRP treasury management signal growing institutional confidence despite short-term bearish sentiment.

XRP’s price stability above $2 is tested by Middle East tensions and the FOMC meeting, with institutional moves and options volume highlighting mixed market sentiment.

Institutional Adoption and Market Dynamics Bolster XRP’s Position

Recent developments have positioned XRP as a focal point in the crypto market, especially with Circle’s USDC integration onto the XRP Ledger enhancing its utility in cross-border payments. This integration aligns with XRP’s longstanding vision as a remittance token, potentially increasing transactional throughput and adoption.

Moreover, Nasdaq-listed Trident Digital Tech Holdings Ltd.’s announcement of a $500 million plan to acquire XRP for its corporate treasury marks a significant institutional endorsement. This move places XRP alongside major cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, SOL, and HYPE in terms of corporate interest, signaling a maturation of XRP’s market perception.

These institutional developments have likely mitigated the impact of the recent $22 million liquidation cascade, which, while notable, was relatively contained compared to the broader market downturn exceeding $1 billion. The resilience of XRP, losing only 4% compared to ETH and SOL’s 8% drops, underscores its growing stability amid volatility.

Options Market Activity Reflects Hedging and Cautious Sentiment

The options market for XRP has seen a dramatic 225% increase in volume, reaching nearly $4 billion. This surge indicates heightened hedging activity by large players, reflecting a cautious stance amid uncertain macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions.

Notably, the 25 Delta Risk Reversals (25RR) for the end-June options expiry have turned negative, suggesting a higher demand for puts over calls. This shift points to increased bearish hedging, signaling that traders are preparing for potential downside risks in the short term.

Such sentiment is understandable given the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, which have already triggered market-wide liquidations, and the anticipation of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting next week, which could significantly influence market direction through interest rate decisions.

Technical Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

From a technical perspective, XRP is currently consolidating between the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the $2.3 resistance level. The 200-day SMA serves as a critical support level; a breach below this could expose XRP to further downside targets around $1.9 or $1.8, especially if geopolitical tensions escalate.

Conversely, if bullish momentum strengthens, XRP could challenge the immediate resistance at $2.3, potentially paving the way for higher price levels. Traders should closely monitor volume and price action around these technical thresholds to gauge market sentiment and potential breakout scenarios.

Source: CoinGlass

Source: Amberdata

Source: XRP/USDT, TradingView

Conclusion

In summary, XRP is navigating a complex landscape shaped by geopolitical uncertainties and upcoming monetary policy decisions. Institutional interest and technological integrations provide a strong foundation for long-term growth, yet short-term market sentiment remains cautious as reflected in options market hedging and technical price action.

Investors and traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as well as evolving macroeconomic factors, to make informed decisions. Maintaining vigilance around the 200-day SMA and the $2.3 resistance will be crucial in anticipating XRP’s next directional move.