XRP Could Fall to $2.22 If It Closes Below $2.687, Analysts Also See Rally Potential to $3.60

• Brandt warns a drop to $2.22 if XRP closes under $2.687.

• Descending triangle shows lower highs and horizontal support near $2.60.

• Resistance at $3.15 and $3.60 on upside; market-cap shift favors BNB over XRP.

XRP price prediction: close below $2.687 risks a $2.22 slide; read levels, on-chain signals and analyst views. See trade-ready levels and key takeaways.

Veteran trader Peter Brandt warns an XRP breakdown toward $2.22 looms if the altcoin fails below $2.687. Analysts also see upside potential.

• Brandt sees XRP falling to $2.22 if it closes beneath $2.68743 and breaks triangle support.
• Descending triangle forms with lower highs and horizontal support near $2.60, signaling weakening demand.
• Analysts highlight resistance at $3.15 and a potential rally toward $3.60 if support holds.

Veteran trader Peter Brandt released a fresh analysis on XRP that signals a possible steep decline. He states that XRP may fall to $2.22163 if it closes below $2.68743. Brandt highlights a descending triangle pattern forming on the charts that suggests weakening demand.

Brandt’s chart shows a series of lower highs paired with horizontal support near $2.60. That structure hints that buyers are losing strength. He notes that XRP has repeatedly failed to hold above $3 despite multiple retests. The analyst’s warning arises from the risk that the support line breaks and accelerates selling pressure.

What caused XRP to lose the No.3 market-cap spot?

XRP’s market-cap drop followed a strong rally in BNB, which pushed Binance Coin above $1,300 and lifted its market capitalization to roughly $178 billion versus XRP’s $177 billion. The short-term shift reflects differential momentum between the tokens rather than a fundamental collapse in XRP’s network metrics.

On the left is a classic descending triangle from Edwards and Magee, showing what descending triangles are supposed to do. On the right is a developing descending triangle. ONLY IF it closes below 2.68743 (then I’ll be a hater), then it should drop to 2.22163. $XRP pic.twitter.com/3GI7nT1TaW

— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) October 7, 2025

Analyst CasiTrades offers a contrasting view. She observes that XRP has held the near-$3 region for several days and that momentum might build from here. She interprets the current consolidation as a setup for a strong upward wave. Her resistance targets are cited near $4 and $4.50.

How do on-chain signals and sentiment affect XRP’s outlook?

Santiment reports a spike in FUD sentiment for XRP, which often precedes counterintuitive price moves. On-chain metrics show mixed signals: transfers and active addresses have not surged to match previous run-ups. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez says a breakout above $3.15 would likely trigger a rally toward $3.60, making $3.15 a key test.

Brandt’s outlook hinges on a close below $2.687. A confirmed break would validate the descending triangle and increase the probability of a move to $2.22163. Conversely, a rebound and clean break above resistance levels would shift market psychology back toward buyers.

What are the practical trade levels and risk controls?

Front-load risk levels: immediate support cluster sits between $2.60–$2.69. Critical downside target: $2.22. Key resistance levels: $3.15, $3.60, and psychological $4.00. Use stop-losses beneath $2.60 on long exposure and reduce size if price breaks and holds under $2.60.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the probability of XRP falling to $2.22?

Probability depends on a confirmed close below $2.687. If a daily close under that level occurs and the descending triangle momentum accelerates, downside toward $2.22 becomes likely; absent that close, odds favor range-bound behavior or a push to resistance.

How should traders set stops around the triangle?

Traders commonly place stops just below the triangle’s horizontal support—around $2.58–$2.60—using position sizing to limit loss to a defined percentage of capital. Confirm breakout direction before increasing exposure.

Key Takeaways

• Immediate risk: A daily close below $2.687 could validate a descending triangle and target $2.22.
• Upside trigger: A clean breakout above $3.15 would likely push toward $3.60 and higher resistance zones.
• Market context: BNB’s recent surge shifted market-cap rankings; on-chain sentiment shows higher FUD for XRP.

Conclusion

This analysis shows clear bifurcated outcomes for XRP: a confirmed close under $2.687 makes a fall to $2.22 the most probable technical scenario, while a break above $3.15 would favor a rally toward $3.60. Monitor the $2.60–$3.15 range and apply disciplined risk controls. COINOTAG will update this story as new data emerges.