XRP ETF Approval Odds Decline to 65% Amid SEC’s Crenshaw’s Ongoing Resistance and Market Speculation

• SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw’s consistent rejection of crypto ETF proposals has led to a drop in XRP ETF approval odds to 65%.

• Even with XRP meeting updated SEC standards, Crenshaw’s influence continues to cast doubt on the ETF’s approval timeline.

• BlackRock’s potential entry into the XRP ETF space fuels speculation, yet Crenshaw’s position remains a major hurdle to progress.

XRP ETF approval odds have dipped to 65% amid SEC resistance, raising concerns about the future of cryptocurrency ETFs. Stay informed with COINOTAG.

What is the Current Status of the XRP ETF?

The XRP ETF approval odds have recently dropped to 65%, primarily due to SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw‘s ongoing opposition. Despite XRP meeting updated SEC standards, her resistance raises significant regulatory uncertainty.

Why is SEC Commissioner Crenshaw Opposed to the XRP ETF?

Commissioner Crenshaw has voted against all 13 crypto ETF proposals reviewed by the SEC this year, including those for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Her consistent dissent raises questions about potential bias against crypto products, particularly the XRP ETF.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors are affecting the XRP ETF approval odds?

The approval odds are primarily influenced by SEC Commissioner Crenshaw’s opposition, which has led to increased regulatory uncertainty.

How does Crenshaw’s stance impact the XRP ETF?

Crenshaw’s consistent rejection of crypto ETFs has created a challenging environment for XRP’s approval, causing market sentiment to fluctuate.

Key Takeaways

• XRP ETF approval odds are currently at 65%: This reflects ongoing resistance from SEC Commissioner Crenshaw.
• Market sentiment is unstable: Approval odds have fluctuated due to regulatory uncertainty.
• BlackRock’s potential involvement: Speculation about BlackRock’s entry into the XRP ETF space adds complexity to the situation.

Conclusion

The future of the XRP ETF remains uncertain as SEC Commissioner Crenshaw’s resistance continues to impact approval odds. Market participants are eagerly awaiting further clarity on upcoming SEC votes, which could significantly influence XRP’s trajectory.

XRP ETF approval odds dip to 65% amid SEC Commissioner Crenshaw’s resistance, despite growing market interest and potential BlackRock involvement.

• SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw’s consistent rejection of crypto ETF proposals has led to a drop in XRP ETF approval odds to 65%.

• Even with XRP meeting updated SEC standards, Crenshaw’s influence continues to cast doubt on the ETF’s approval timeline.

• BlackRock’s potential entry into the XRP ETF space fuels speculation, yet Crenshaw’s position remains a major hurdle to progress.

Market sentiment surrounding the XRP ETF has shifted after SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw renewed her opposition to crypto exchange-traded products. This stance has contributed to a decline in approval odds for a Ripple ETF, which recently dropped to 65%. The XRP ETF now faces increased regulatory uncertainty as the 2025 decision approaches.

Crenshaw has voted against all 13 crypto ETF proposals reviewed internally by the SEC this year. These proposals included approvals for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and several ETF rule changes involving in-kind redemption mechanisms. Despite other commissioners approving each proposal, Crenshaw remained the only dissenting voice in every vote.

Her voting record has raised concerns within the market about potential bias against crypto products, including the XRP ETF. While Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs moved forward, XRP ETF discussions stalled following her continued resistance. Crenshaw’s role as the only Democrat on the Commission has also drawn attention to the political dynamics at play.

Crenshaw’s disapproval may continue to impact the market outlook. With the current voting pattern, any proposal involving XRP may face delay or rejection. Polymarket data shows that XRP ETF approval odds dropped sharply before rebounding slightly to 72%.

XRP ETF Sentiment Weakens Despite Industry Progress

The XRP ETF remains a key topic following the launch of the ProShares Ultra XRP ETF (UXRP) on NYSE Arca in July 2025. Despite this progress, the SEC has yet to decide on a full XRP ETF listing. Crenshaw’s resistance has disrupted the momentum that had been building since mid-2024.

Source: Polymarket

Market optimism had pushed XRP ETF approval odds as high as 90% earlier this year. However, Crenshaw’s firm stance drove those odds down to 65% before a mild recovery. Analysts believe sentiment will remain unstable as long as her opposition remains unchanged.

XRP now meets updated SEC standards for token listing, including six months of derivatives trading. Even so, regulatory approval remains uncertain due to Crenshaw’s influence. This has left market participants awaiting further clarity on upcoming SEC votes.

BlackRock Rumors Fuel Speculation on XRP’s Future

BlackRock may enter the XRP ETF space, according to speculation around a possible new filing. The company’s digital asset director, Maxwell Stein, is scheduled to speak at Ripple’s Swell 2025 event. His appearance has added to expectations of future engagement between Ripple and major financial firms.

Despite rising interest, Crenshaw’s stance could delay any progress. Her criticism of SEC guidance on stablecoins and staking protocols underscores her position on digital asset regulation. Her voice may continue shaping ETF policy outcomes for XRP and other altcoins through 2025.

Ripple’s path toward ETF approval remains uncertain. Crenshaw’s continued dissent is now a key variable. The final outcome may depend on how other SEC commissioners respond in upcoming decisions.