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Despite a significant legal victory, Ripple’s XRP continues to face fierce challenges in the volatile crypto market.
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Lawmakers and analysts alike are watching closely as the SEC’s decision has failed to bolster XRP’s market confidence, leading to stark declines in both activity and price.
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According to insights from COINOTAG, “The SEC’s clearance of Ripple’s case is a game-changer, yet the market’s reaction tells a different story of uncertainty.”
Ripple’s court victory did not translate into market stability for XRP, which is grappling with significant declines in both activity and price post-verdict.
A legal victory with significant repercussions for XRP
The recent decision by the U.S. SEC to withdraw its appeal in the Ripple case marks a turning point for the broader cryptocurrency landscape. After enduring lengthy legal debates, the SEC’s choice to uphold the ruling from U.S. District Judge Analisa Torres provides newfound clarity on XRP’s regulatory framework.
This landmark ruling established that Ripple’s programmatic sales of XRP on secondary exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken are not deemed securities violations, while direct sales to institutional clients were determined to breach securities regulations, resulting in a $125 million penalty for Ripple.
Financial experts have underscored the implications of the SEC’s decision, noting that this particular case advanced further than other similar cases against significant players like Coinbase and Kraken.
With the legal battles subsiding, the industry is now revisiting discussions surrounding the potential approval of an XRP ETF, with increased expectations for a positive outcome as early as 2025. However, prevailing market sentiment remains cautious amid this newfound clarity.
Market troubles: Falling activity and declining prices
In stark contrast to the legal victories, XRP’s actual market performance continues to falter. Recent on-chain analytics have shown a sharp decline in daily active addresses, a clear indicator of diminishing user engagement within the ecosystem.
Source: Santiment
This significant decline in active addresses typically signals reduced liquidity and a downturn in speculative interest, both of which contribute to escalating bearish trends. In the last fortnight, XRP’s price has plunged over 11%, as mounting selling pressures overshadow any potential buying interest.
Source: CoinMarketCap
The decline in on-chain activity suggests that investor confidence may be waning, diverting traders’ interest to alternative opportunities within the market. Should XRP fail to re-establish its utility or a strong fundamental catalyst arise, the crypto asset may encounter additional downside risks without a timely resurgence of market buyers.
XRP: Will support levels hold amidst adversity?
Current price action for XRP remains decidedly bearish, with the token trading at $2.18 following a minor, yet brief, relief bounce. Analyzing the relative strength index (RSI), which currently sits at 42.65, indicates prevailing weak momentum that leaves room for further declines prior to reaching oversold conditions.
Moreover, the on-balance volume (OBV) metric is trending downwards, further emphasizing the signs of diminishing buying pressure.
Source: TradingView
The recent downtrend has resulted in XRP breaching crucial support levels, and unless we see a significant reversal, impending dips towards the $2.00 mark may become a reality. Should buyers reclaim control of the market, resistance near the $2.30 threshold could present formidable challenges. A breakthrough above this level is critical for a trend shift; however, the declining OBV suggests that traders are currently adopting a cautious approach.
If the current selling pressure remains, XRP may be forced to retest lower support lines, with the possibility of revisiting the $1.90 level in the days ahead.
Conclusion
In summary, despite Ripple’s recent legal triumph, XRP is grappling with significant market challenges, primarily reflected in declining user activity and a troubling price trajectory. The juxtaposition of regulatory clarity and market pessimism presents a complex scenario for XRP investors as they await any signs of renewed momentum or a fundamental shift to drive confidence back into the market.
