XRP May Eye $3.70 Run After Holding $2.90 Support as CME Open Interest Tops $1.27B

  • XRP defending $2.90 after three tests — strong short-term support.

  • Record CME Open Interest of $1.27B with a $150M daily jump signals fresh institutional positioning.

  • Large supply cluster at $2.80 (≈1.8B tokens) and muted profit-taking support a bullish outlook.

XRP price outlook: CME open interest spikes to $1.27B while $2.90 support holds — track OI and supply at $2.80 for a potential move to $3.70. Read more.

What is driving the current XRP price momentum?

XRP price momentum is driven by rising institutional positioning in CME XRP futures and resilient spot support at $2.90. Short-term strength is reinforced by a $2.80 supply floor and muted profit-taking, creating a setup where expanding open interest can fuel a move toward $3.70 if cost-basis support holds.

How does CME Open Interest affect XRP price action?

CME Open Interest (OI) measures institutional exposure and often precedes stronger price swings. A record $1.27 billion OI, including a >$150 million single-day increase, signals renewed institutional bets on XRP. When OI expands alongside stable spot support, the market typically sees sustained upward pressure.

Institutional bets heat up — what does the data show?

Institutional activity in XRP futures is climbing rapidly. Historically, spikes in CME OI have aligned with bullish setups, and current readings reflect heightened positioning.

As of writing, CME OI reached $1.27 billion, up roughly $150 million from the previous day. This jump denotes fresh large-scale entries rather than retail-driven momentum, increasing the probability of a pronounced directional move if spot support remains intact.

XRP CME OI

Source: CoinGlass

Past behavior matters: in mid-July, XRP peaked near $3.55 when CME OI was around $725 million. When OI retreated to $585 million over two weeks, XRP lost momentum and fell under $3. That episode underscores the risk of sharp moves if institutional OI rolls off quickly.

Monitoring the Cost-Basis cluster and OI trajectory is therefore critical; a breach of the cost-basis zone could trigger liquidations and accelerate downside moves.

Why is the $2.80 supply cluster important?

An on-chain supply cluster at $2.80 — roughly 1.8 billion tokens — functions as a strong bid floor. That zone already supported three consecutive rebounds, confirming significant buy-side interest.

With holders sitting on approximately 7% unrealized gains and profit-taking muted, the supply cluster acts as a defensive anchor. Institutional flows adding OI increase the likelihood that this anchor remains intact, setting conditions for a measured rally.

Ripple

Source: Glassnode

Frequently Asked Questions

Can XRP break above $3.70 soon?

With $2.90 defended and institutional OI rising, a run toward $3.70 is plausible if OI continues to expand and macro volatility remains muted. A sustained breakout requires confirmed volume and continued buying at the $2.80–$2.90 cost-basis cluster.

How should traders monitor risk around XRP?

Traders should track CME Open Interest, on-chain supply clusters, and unrealized gains. Watch for OI roll-off or a breach of the $2.80–$2.90 zone, which could signal increased liquidation risk and a potential quick decline.

Key Takeaways

  • Support confirmed: XRP defended $2.90 after multiple tests, indicating robust short-term demand.
  • Institutional flows: CME OI hit $1.27B with a $150M+ daily increase, signaling renewed institutional positioning.
  • Watch levels: $2.80 supply cluster (~1.8B tokens) and Cost-Basis zones are critical; breach could trigger rapid downside.

Conclusion

With institutional flows rising and the $2.80–$2.90 area holding, XRP price appears positioned for a potential advance toward $3.70 if OI continues to expand and profit-taking remains muted. Monitor CME Open Interest and on-chain supply clusters closely for confirmations and risk signals.






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