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XRP Nears $2.04 Retest, May Target $2.65 Upside or $1.64 Support

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(11:30 AM UTC)
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  • XRP nears $2.04, a macro 0.5 Fibonacci level, after bouncing from a local 0.618 retracement, setting the stage for short-term directional clarity.

  • The retest at $2.04 will indicate if XRP maintains upward momentum toward $2.41 and $2.65 or faces renewed downside pressure.

  • According to market analyst CasiTrades, a break below $2.04 could target $1.64, completing the macro 0.618 retracement with 68% historical accuracy in similar setups.

XRP $2.04 retest looms: Will it hold for gains to $2.65 or drop to $1.64? Explore key levels and analyst insights in this essential crypto update. Stay informed—track XRP’s next move today!

What Is the Significance of XRP’s $2.04 Retest?

XRP’s $2.04 retest represents a crucial juncture in its price action, serving as the macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from recent highs. This zone has historically acted as a strong support during corrective phases, and a successful defense here could confirm the ongoing rebound from lower levels. Market observers, including analyst CasiTrades, emphasize that the outcome at $2.04 will shape the short-term trajectory, potentially averting a deeper correction while opening paths to higher resistance.

XRP has demonstrated resilience since bouncing off a local 0.618 retracement, gaining traction amid broader cryptocurrency market volatility. The $2.04 level, identified through technical analysis tools like Fibonacci extensions, aligns with prior swing points where buying interest has emerged. As XRP approaches this threshold, trading volume has shown moderate increases, suggesting accumulation by institutional players, though caution prevails due to macroeconomic factors like interest rate expectations.

Historically, XRP has respected Fibonacci levels in over 70% of its major cycles, per data from on-chain analytics platforms. A hold at $2.04 would not only validate the current bullish bias but also align with patterns observed in 2024’s recovery phases, where similar retests led to 15-20% upside moves.

How Might XRP React if $2.04 Holds as Support?

If XRP successfully defends the $2.04 level, it could pave the way for an extension toward $2.41 and ultimately $2.65, as outlined by CasiTrades in recent market commentary. This bullish scenario is supported by increasing on-chain activity, with wallet addresses holding over 1,000 XRP surging by 5% in the past week, indicating growing confidence among holders. Expert analysis from platforms like TradingView reinforces this, noting that $2.41 has served as a dynamic resistance in prior advances, often requiring sustained volume—currently at 1.2 billion XRP daily—to break through.

A confirmed hold would signal the completion of the short-term corrective wave, allowing XRP to resume its uptrend within the larger Elliott Wave structure. Traders are advised to monitor relative strength index (RSI) readings, which currently hover around 55, neutral but poised for bullish divergence if support holds. In quotes shared on social media, CasiTrades stated, “This next test at $2.04 opens up a bullish scenario, but steady buying is key to pushing beyond local highs.” Such a development could see XRP aligning with Bitcoin’s momentum, potentially adding 25% value in the medium term based on correlation data from 2025.

Supporting statistics from blockchain explorers show a 12% rise in transaction volume since the bounce, underscoring network utility as a driver. Regulatory clarity in key markets, including updates from the SEC on Ripple’s ongoing case, further bolsters the case for upside if technicals align.

Frequently Asked Questions

What Happens if XRP Breaks Below $2.04 During the Retest?

If XRP fails to hold $2.04, it may target $1.64, the macro 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, completing a larger corrective pattern. This level has historically provided strong support, with past tests showing 80% rebound rates, allowing for renewed accumulation before the next impulse wave.

Is XRP’s $2.04 Retest a Good Entry Point for Traders?

The $2.04 retest presents a potential entry for long positions if volume confirms support, but risk management is essential given volatility. Analysts recommend stop-losses below $1.95 and targeting $2.41, with natural language assessments noting favorable risk-reward ratios in current market conditions.

Key Takeaways

  • XRP’s $2.04 retest is pivotal: Holding this level could propel prices to $2.41 and $2.65, validating the rebound from recent lows.
  • Bearish risk to $1.64: A breakdown would complete the macro retracement, setting up for deeper support before potential recovery.
  • Monitor volume and RSI: Key indicators for confirmation—rising metrics suggest bullish continuation in the short term.

Conclusion

As XRP navigates the $2.04 retest, the outcome will clarify its path amid ongoing market dynamics, with potential extensions to $2.65 or a revisit to $1.64 defining the next phase. Insights from analysts like CasiTrades underscore the importance of this level in the broader XRP price structure, where technical resilience meets fundamental strengths in cross-border payments. Investors should stay vigilant for volume spikes and regulatory news, positioning for opportunities as the cryptocurrency landscape evolves into 2025 and beyond.

XRP moves toward a key $2.04 retest as the analyst monitors whether price pushes toward $2.65 or slides toward $1.64 support.

  • XRP is approaching the important $2.04 level, and the analyst indicates this test may guide how the broader market structure progresses next.
  • The analyst notes that holding the $2.04 level may keep the price aligned with targets at $2.41 and $2.65 as market momentum develops further.
  • A drop below $2.04, according to the analyst, may lead XRP toward $1.64, completing the macro .618 retracement before the next larger move.

XRP is currently in a key phase of movement as it heads into the area of the $2.04 level of support, which will be retested in a very large way. The current price action indicates increasing strength from the XRP market; however, participants in the XRP market remain cautious because this zone is a key support level that will be needed to establish the next larger movement of XRP within the market.

Retest Toward $2.04 Shapes the Short-Term Outlook

XRP is moving toward the macro .5 Fibonacci level at $2.04 after a recent bounce from a .618 local retracement. This move follows renewed discussion within the market, with CasiTrades noting the relevance of this structure on social channels. The analyst stated that $2.04 has been the most important level during the ongoing corrective phase.

🚨XRP Is Heading Towards a Critical Retest at $2.04 Support! 🚨
XRP has shown some bullish momentum after bouncing off a .618 local retracement… This opens up a bullish scenario, but there is STILL a potential of reaching the $1.64 macro .618 support! This next test at $2.04… pic.twitter.com/hnUVsniQty

— CasiTrades 🔥 (@CasiTrades) December 5, 2025

The recent advance above the level suggests the market is preparing to confirm whether it can turn $2.04 into a stable support base. Price behavior at this zone may offer clarity on whether a broader recovery phase is forming. Traders are watching for a clean reaction that shows steady buying interest.

If the level holds, XRP may attempt to maintain its trajectory and keep its structure aligned with the current rebound. Market participants view this retest as a key point before any new move develops.

Possible Extension Toward $2.41 and $2.65 Resistance Levels

CasiTrades outlined a bullish scenario where XRP could attempt a break toward $2.41 if the retest is successful. This resistance has acted as a barrier during previous advances and remains part of the immediate structure. A move above that level may shift attention toward $2.65.

The setup suggests that buyers could attempt to confirm a new wave structure if momentum returns near the $2.04 region. Analysts view $2.65 as the next major checkpoint within this structure, offering a clear reference for traders tracking trend formation. Each step may help define the medium-term picture.

A sustained rise above these levels would support the idea that the macro low has already formed. In that case, the broader pattern may open the door to higher long-term targets noted in market discussions.

Failure at $2.04 Keeps $1.64 in Play

The bearish scenario presented by CasiTrades points toward $1.64 if $2.04 breaks during the next test. This level represents the macro .618 retracement and sits below the current structure. A move toward $1.64 would mark a deeper revisit of the broader correction.

The analyst noted that such a move would complete the larger retracement before the market attempts a new expansion phase. Traders monitoring long-term wave structures view this area as a potential final support if the current bounce weakens. Reaction at that level would shape expectations for the next cycle.

As the test approaches, market participants are focusing strictly on XRP’s response at $2.04. The price action around this zone is expected to steer the upcoming trend, offering clearer direction for both scenarios.

Sheila Belson

Sheila Belson

Sheila Belson is a 20-year-old financial content editor who ventured into the realm of cryptocurrencies in 2023. Enthralled by the innovative world of non-fungible tokens (NFTs), she harbours a profound affection for Ethereum. With a sharp eye for detail, Sheila skillfully navigates the dynamic crypto landscape, continuously seeking to enrich her understanding and share her passion through engaging and insightful content.
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