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XRP has surged over 550% since November, with analysts predicting it could reach $30 by mid-2026, driven by market dynamics and technical patterns.
Market analysts forecast XRP could climb toward $34 this bull cycle.
XRP’s market cap of $190 billion versus its $85 million total-value-locked (TVL) raises overvaluation concerns.
Historical data shows XRP prices have multiplied significantly in previous bull cycles.
Discover the latest insights on XRP’s potential price movements and market dynamics as it aims for $30 by mid-2026.
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Metric
Value
Comparison
XRP Market Cap
$190 billion
2,200 times its TVL
What is Driving XRP’s Price Surge?
The recent surge in XRP’s price is attributed to a combination of market sentiment and technical analysis. XRP has rallied significantly, prompting analysts to predict a potential rise to $30 by mid-2026.
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How Does XRP’s Historical Performance Influence Current Predictions?
XRP’s past performance shows substantial gains during previous bull cycles, with analysts noting that the cryptocurrency has previously multiplied over 10x. This historical context supports current bullish predictions.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the potential price target for XRP in 2026?
Analysts suggest XRP could reach up to $34 by mid-2026, based on its current market dynamics and historical price patterns.
How does XRP’s market cap compare to its total-value-locked?
XRP’s market cap stands at $190 billion, significantly higher than its total-value-locked of $85 million, indicating potential overvaluation risks.
Key Takeaways
XRP has surged over 550%: This significant increase has set the stage for potential future gains.
Market cap vs. TVL disparity: XRP’s market cap raises concerns about overvaluation relative to its on-chain activity.
Technical analysis indicates bullish trends: Analysts predict a possible rise to $34 based on historical patterns.
Conclusion
In summary, XRP’s recent price movements reflect a complex interplay of market sentiment and technical indicators. With predictions suggesting a potential rise to $30 by mid-2026, investors should remain cautious yet optimistic about XRP’s future. The landscape remains dynamic, and ongoing developments will be crucial in shaping its trajectory.
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XRP prices have multiplied at least 10x in previous bull cycles, fueling hopes for a similar big breakout toward $30 by mid-2026.
One market analyst projects XRP could climb toward $34 this bull cycle.
XRPL’s $190 billion market cap versus $85 million TVL keeps overvaluation risks in play.
Explore the latest insights on XRP’s potential price movements and market dynamics as it aims for $30 by mid-2026.
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XRP’s Double Bottom Hints at 10x Gains
XRP has broken out of a seven-year double-bottom structure after rising above its neckline near $1.80, according to Van Lagen. The cryptocurrency then pulled back to the neckline, which acted as support. In chart terms, such a retest often signals that the breakout is strong and traders are confident in higher prices.
XRP/USD two-week price chart. Source: TradingView/Gert van Lagen
Using the 2.00 Fibonacci extension of the pattern, Van Lagen’s measured-move projection points to a $34 target by mid-2026. The setup mirrors XRP’s 2014–2017 price action, when a similar multi-year base resolved into a parabolic rally, pushing XRP/USD over 100,000% higher.
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XRP’s markets have witnessed such outsized moves in recent years. For instance, it gained roughly 1,072% since the 2022 lows. Before that, in 2020-2021, XRP price soared by over 1,625%.
XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView
XRP’s 2020–21 rally largely took cues from a near-zero interest rate environment in the US. Its 2022–25 gains were mainly fueled by progress in the Ripple lawsuit, growing legal clarity, exchange relistings, and ETF optimism.
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The latter continues to guide XRP bulls in 2025 with 95% odds of a spot ETF approval and forecasts suggesting the token could rally toward $27 if the green light comes, close to Van Lagen’s target.
XRP Ledger Metrics Flash Overvaluation Risks
The growth of XRP’s parent chain, XRP Ledger (XRPL), lags far behind other major Layer-1s, including Ethereum, according to DefiLlama. Its $190 billion market cap is roughly 2,200 times larger than its $85 million total-value-locked (TVL). That’s a stark contrast to Ethereum’s ratio of about 5.6, despite XRP’s valuation being nearly 40% of the latter’s.
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XRP Ledger’s TVL, DEX volume, and app fees since April 2024. Source: DefiLlama
Such a disparity has led to concerns over XRP’s extreme overvaluation relative to on-chain activity. As of August, over 95% of XRP’s supply is in profit, a threshold that, during the 2020–21 and 2022–25 rallies, consistently preceded sharp price corrections.
XRP percent supply in profit. Source: Glassnode
When such a large share of holders sit on gains, profit-taking typically accelerates, creating sell pressure. Such a dynamic could challenge XRP’s ability to sustain its current uptrend toward $30.