XRP Price Recovery Gains Momentum as Futures Open Interest Rises: Can It Reach $3.40?

• XRP is on a promising journey to reclaim its past glory, with recent market movements suggesting a bullish trend ahead.

• Driven by a significant rise in open interest, XRP is poised for a potential breakthrough, reflecting heightened investor confidence.

• Experts note, “The rising open interest indicates a positive sentiment for XRP,” emphasizing the shift in market dynamics.

XRP’s price recovery is gaining momentum, backed by rising open interest, as traders eye a potential retest of $3.40 in the coming weeks.

Surging Open Interest Fuels Bullish Sentiment for XRP

XRP’s price remains resilient, settling at approximately $2.40 as of May 16, after a slight decline of 2% over the past day. However, the cryptocurrency has experienced a robust gain of 13% over the last two weeks, largely fueled by positive trends in the broader cryptocurrency market and a notable spike in open interest (OI).

The recent surge in OI, which climbed 53% from $3.61 billion to a peak of $5.53 billion, reflects an influx of new capital and bullish speculations among traders. Although OI witnessed a slight decrease to $5.06 billion on May 16, this overall increase hints at a strengthened market outlook for XRP.

In historical context, significant increases in OI often precede major price rallies. For instance, a similar pattern was observed during the run-up to notable market events, including a remarkable 70% rally experienced by XRP from late December 2024 to mid-January 2025.

Additionally, while funding rates for XRP have turned positive, currently hovering around 0.0065%, this indicates a balanced market sentiment amid ongoing speculation.

Technical Indicators Reveal V-Shaped Recovery for XRP

The current trading patterns indicate a developing V-shaped recovery on XRP’s weekly chart, signaling potential bullish momentum. A V-shaped recovery is typically characterized by a dramatic rise in price following a steep decline, culminating at the apex of the “V,” also known as the neckline.

For XRP, the critical milestone is to convert the resistance at $2.60 into support, which would pave the way for a jump toward $3.00 and eventually target the neckline at $3.40, marking a potential price increase of around 40% from its current standing.

Data from the relative strength index (RSI) supports this bullish outlook, as it has ascended from 43 to 56 over the past six weeks, suggesting that market momentum is indeed building.

Several analysts share an optimistic sentiment regarding XRP’s trajectory, with one notable crypto analyst, Egrag Crypto, expressing confidence that breaking out of a descending triangle could lead XRP back to the $3.40 level.

Market Analysts Weigh in on XRP’s Current Trends

Prominent market analyst Dom pointed out that sustaining the price above $2.40 is essential for the continuation of bullish momentum. This level is crucial as it aligns with significant volume-weighted average prices (VWAPs) and key moving averages.

Dom noted, “XRP managed to break through key VWAP bands recently, effectively reaching the value area high where the price stabilized,” indicating that protective measures by bullish traders will be vital in maintaining upward momentum.

Future Outlook for XRP’s Price Movement

With increasing open interest and favorable technical indicators, XRP’s path forward appears promising. As traders observe how key support levels hold and react to market conditions, interest remains high regarding the future of XRP and its potential to reach and exceed recent highs at $3.40.

Conclusion

In summary, the current market landscape reveals a highly strategic position for XRP, driven by a substantial increase in open interest and a bullish V-shaped recovery pattern. If XRP can retain critical support levels, the potential for a breakout beyond its previous highs may indeed materialize, providing valuable insights into its future price trajectory.