Exploring the Potential: Solana (SOL) Could Outperform Ethereum (ETH) by 2025, Depending on U.S. Election Outcomes

  • Standard Chartered has made significant predictions regarding the potential performance of prominent cryptocurrencies in the context of the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
  • The bank’s analysis highlights Solana (SOL) as having the potential for substantial growth, particularly if Donald Trump is re-elected.
  • “This rich valuation requires throughput on Solana to increase 100-400X over the next several years,” said Geoffrey Kendrick, emphasizing the link between market expectations and scalability.

This article discusses Standard Chartered’s forecasts for Solana, Ethereum, and Bitcoin based on political developments in the U.S., providing insights for investors navigating the evolving crypto landscape.

Solana’s Promising Trajectory According to Standard Chartered

In a recent report from Standard Chartered, analysts are bullish on Solana’s potential, projecting that the cryptocurrency could outperform its competitors, Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin (BTC), if former President Donald Trump secures another term in office. This forecast is underpinned by new valuation metrics for layer-1 blockchains, emphasizing Solana’s current market position and its scalability requirements.

Impact of Political Climate on Crypto Valuations

Geoffrey Kendrick, the Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, has analyzed how the outcome of the U.S. presidential election may influence the crypto market. He stated that if Trump wins, Solana could potentially see a price increase of up to five times its current valuation. Moreover, the forecast suggests that Ethereum could reach approximately $10,000 under a Trump administration. Such projections hinge on the assumption that a Trump administration would foster a more favorable environment for digital assets.

Comparative Valuations: Solana, Ethereum, and Bitcoin

The report from Standard Chartered elucidates the current valuation disparities among Solana, Ethereum, and Bitcoin. Kendrick pointed out that Solana is currently trading at a staggering 250 times its market cap relative to fees, compared to 121 times for Ethereum. This metric indicates market expectations for growth, with Kendrick asserting that Solana must enhance its throughput significantly to justify this high valuation. He noted that the anticipated throughput growth for Solana ranges from 100 to 400 times over the coming years, particularly if there is regulatory support from a Trump administration.

Differential Outcomes Based on Election Results

Kendrick’s analysis also details alternative scenarios depending on the election outcome. Should Vice President Kamala Harris assume the presidency, he predicts a contrary trajectory where Bitcoin may outperform Ethereum, which in turn would exceed Solana’s performance. This scenario underscores the sensitive interplay between political leadership and the regulatory landscape affecting cryptocurrency markets.

Price Predictions: A Closer Look

Under Trump’s projected presidency, Standard Chartered anticipates that Bitcoin could hit a price target of $200,000 by the end of 2025. In contrast, under Harris, this figure may not reach previous highs, positioning BTC to be outperformed by Ethereum. Kendrick’s specific forecast estimates Ethereum’s price levels at around $7,000 should Harris take office, compared to the $10,000 projection under Trump.

Conclusion

This analysis by Standard Chartered presents a clear link between potential political outcomes and cryptocurrency valuations. As the electoral mathematics unfold, investors need to remain vigilant, understanding that these predictions hinge significantly on market dynamics and throughput capabilities. The cryptocurrency landscape is proving to be not just a financial market but a barometer of broader economic sentiments shaped by political climates.

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