TIA RSI MACD Analysis: January 23, 2026 Momentum Evaluation
TIA/USDT
$39,184,031.05
$0.4776 / $0.4530
Change: $0.0246 (5.43%)
+0.0030%
Longs pay
RSI in TIA has declined to the 36.65 level, approaching the oversold region, but MACD's negative histogram reinforces the downtrend momentum – short-term recovery signal is weak.
Trend Status and Momentum Analysis
TIA is trading at 0.45 dollars as of January 23, 2026, and with a 1.16% decline in the last 24 hours, the daily range is stuck between 0.45-0.48 dollars. Volume is hovering around 51.90 million dollars, which partially supports the recent declines, but momentum indicators generally paint a bearish picture. The main trend continues as downtrend; price remains below EMA20 (0.52 dollars) and the Supertrend indicator gives a bearish signal, with resistance level positioned at 0.58 dollars. From a momentum perspective, the weak readings of RSI and MACD show that trend strength has not diminished; on the contrary, negative momentum dominates. In multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence, a total of 5 strong levels have been detected across 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes: 1 support in 1D, 1 support/2 resistance in 3D, and 1 support/1 resistance in 1W. This confluence points to a base formation around the strong support at 0.4291 dollars (score 77/100), but the lack of strong resistance increases the potential for the downtrend to continue. Bearish target at 0.1174 dollars (score 22), while in a bullish scenario, 0.7169 dollars (score 50) can be monitored. Volume confirmation is weak; although volume increases during declines, accumulation patterns are not yet clear, confirming that momentum is fueled by selling pressure.
RSI Indicator: Buy or Sell?
RSI Divergence Analysis
RSI (14) is at 36.65 and quite close to the oversold region (below 30). While this serves as a warning that short-term momentum is exhausted, a regular bearish divergence dominates: As price makes new lows, RSI shows slight recovery in its lows (observable in the recent 1D chart), but this is not interpreted as a hidden bullish divergence because the overall trend is down. On the 3D timeframe, RSI is stuck below the 40 level and confirms selling momentum with negative divergence. If RSI tests 30, we can expect a classic oversold bounce, but due to the lack of divergence, it may not be sustainable. From a momentum confluence perspective, the oversold crossover of Stochastic and RSI should be monitored – the bearish bias is currently preserved.
Oversold/Overbought Regions
RSI at 36.65 is in the neutral-bearish range (30-50), with oversold at the door. Historically, TIA has recovered after 5-10% pullbacks around RSI 35, but this is not supported in the current downtrend. With 1W RSI near 42, the overall oversold condition lacks the strength to trigger a momentum shift. If confirmed by volume, a buy signal strengthens; otherwise, selling pressure continues.
MACD Signals and Histogram Dynamics
MACD is in bearish territory; the signal line is below the MACD line and the histogram is expanding in the negative zone. This indicates momentum accelerating in the selling direction – histogram bars have grown over the last 3 days, confirming downtrend strength. On the 1D chart, the MACD line has moved away from the zero line (no bearish divergence), and the signal line crossover has completed downward. The lack of histogram contraction signals ongoing negative momentum rather than short-term relief. On 3D, the MACD histogram has peaked negatively, confirming that medium-term trend strength has not weakened. If the histogram approaches zero and a bullish crossover occurs (likely at support), a momentum shift can be observed; the current expansion encourages sellers. Volume-MACD integration: Decline volumes support histogram expansion, accumulation is weak.
EMA Systems and Trend Strength
Short-Term EMAs
Price is below EMA20 (0.52 dollars), squeezed between EMA9 and EMA12 – this ribbon squeeze indicates short-term bearish momentum. The EMA ribbon is expanding in the downtrend; short EMAs are below the longs and death cross is complete. In trend strength measurement, EMA ribbon dynamics confirm the dominance of selling momentum, with price near the lower band of the ribbon.
Medium/Long-Term EMA Supports
EMA50 (around 0.60) and EMA200 (around 0.75) are strong resistances; price has distanced itself from these levels and the medium-term trend is bearish. Recovery remains limited without testing EMA supports. Although long EMAs are flattening in ribbon dynamics, short-term pressure preserves trend strength. Supertrend bearish with EMA confluence makes the 0.4291 support critical.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC is at 89,650 dollars and up 0.20% in 24 hours, but overall downtrend dominates, Supertrend bearish. TIA is highly correlated with BTC (0.85+); if BTC breaks supports at 88,387-86,576, additional selling pressure increases in TIA. If BTC is rejected from resistances at 91,086-92,961, momentum weakens in altcoins. BTC dominance increase is negative for TIA; current BTC Supertrend bearish reinforces TIA downtrend. Watch: BTC break below 84,681 accelerates TIA bearish target (0.1174), above 91k brings relief. Detailed data available in TIA Spot Analysis and TIA Futures Analysis.
Momentum Outcome and Expectations
TIA momentum analysis is bearish weighted: Although RSI 36.65 is near oversold, lack of divergence, MACD histogram expansion confirms selling strength, EMA ribbon confirms downtrend. While volume supports declines, accumulation patterns are weak, MTF confluence highlights 0.4291 support. Short-term support test expected; breakdown leads to bearish target, hold could lead to bullish 0.7169 with RSI recovery. Momentum confluence favors selling, BTC downtrend increases risk. In trend strength measurements, negative momentum dominates; patient wait advised – indicator confluence required for change.
This analysis uses the market views and methodology of Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal.
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