Analyst Forecasts Spot XRP ETFs May Debut in U.S. Within Two Weeks

  • Nate Geraci forecasts spot XRP ETF debuts by mid-November after Ripple’s legal victory.

  • Canary Capital and Bitwise have updated S-1 filings, positioning them as frontrunners for SEC approval.

  • Over $100 million already managed in existing XRP funds, with projections for billions in ETF assets post-launch (source: Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan).

Spot XRP ETFs launch soon: Nate Geraci predicts U.S. debut in weeks after Ripple SEC win. Discover key filings, timelines, and institutional impact for crypto investors today.

What Are Spot XRP ETFs and When Will They Launch?

Spot XRP ETFs are exchange-traded funds designed to track the price of XRP cryptocurrency directly by holding the actual asset, providing investors with regulated exposure without needing to manage digital wallets. According to ETF analyst Nate Geraci, president of ETF Store, the first U.S. spot XRP ETFs could debut within the next two weeks, following the August resolution of Ripple Labs’ long-standing lawsuit with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This development marks a pivotal shift, enabling broader institutional participation in XRP markets previously hindered by regulatory uncertainty.

How Has the Ripple-SEC Lawsuit Resolution Impacted Spot XRP ETF Filings?

The SEC’s litigation against Ripple, initiated in 2020, centered on whether XRP constituted an unregistered security, creating significant barriers to mainstream financial products tied to the token. The case concluded with a joint dismissal of appeals by the Second Circuit Court of Appeals in August, clarifying XRP’s status and removing a major regulatory overhang. This resolution has spurred a wave of ETF applications, with Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noting that at least six major firms have submitted S-1 forms to the SEC since the ruling.

Key details include Canary Capital’s amended filing, which eliminated a delay provision similar to those used in its successful Litecoin and Hedera ETF launches in October. Bitwise followed suit by introducing a competitive 0.34% management fee and targeting NYSE Arca for listing. Other applicants, such as Grayscale Investments, 21Shares, WisdomTree, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton, are in various stages of review. Despite BlackRock and Fidelity’s absence from XRP pursuits—Fidelity focusing instead on Solana—experts like Geraci view this as the “final nail in the coffin” for prior anti-crypto stances at the SEC.

Supporting data from the existing REX-Osprey XRP fund, launched in September, shows rapid growth to over $100 million in assets under management, underscoring demand. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan has estimated that spot XRP ETFs could collectively amass several billion dollars in assets once approved, drawing parallels to the explosive growth of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

Frequently Asked Questions

What Is the Expected Timeline for Spot XRP ETF Approvals?

The first spot XRP ETFs are anticipated to launch by mid-November, as forecasted by Nate Geraci. This timeline accounts for recent S-1 amendments by Canary Capital and Bitwise, alongside SEC review delays due to the U.S. government shutdown. If no further objections arise, automatic approvals could occur within weeks, per analyst insights from Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas.

Why Are Spot XRP ETFs Important for Institutional Investors?

Spot XRP ETFs offer institutional investors a straightforward, regulated way to gain exposure to XRP’s price movements, bypassing the complexities of direct cryptocurrency custody and trading. With Ripple’s lawsuit resolved, these products signal maturing U.S. crypto regulations, potentially unlocking billions in capital inflows as highlighted by ETF experts like Matt Hougan from Bitwise.

Key Takeaways

  • Ripple Lawsuit Resolution Accelerates ETFs: The August closure of the SEC case has cleared regulatory hurdles, enabling swift progress on spot XRP ETF applications from multiple issuers.
  • Leading Filers Positioned for Quick Launch: Canary Capital and Bitwise’s updated S-1 forms, including competitive fees, place them at the forefront, with potential debuts by mid-November amid SEC delays.
  • Institutional Demand Signals Growth: Existing XRP funds have surpassed $100 million in assets; experts project billions more with ETF approvals, fostering wider adoption.

Conclusion

The impending launch of spot XRP ETFs represents a landmark moment for XRP and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, driven by the Ripple-SEC lawsuit resolution and proactive filings from firms like Canary Capital and Bitwise. As regulatory clarity strengthens institutional confidence, these ETFs could propel XRP’s market integration, with analysts forecasting substantial asset inflows. Investors should monitor SEC updates closely, positioning themselves to capitalize on this evolving landscape in U.S. crypto finance.

ETF analyst Nate Geraci, president of ETF Store and co-founder of the ETF Institute, emphasized on social media platform X that this shift underscores a new era in crypto regulation. His projection aligns with the momentum built post-litigation, where the SEC’s five-year battle against Ripple Labs ended decisively.

Government Shutdown Influences SEC Review Process

The partial U.S. government shutdown has extended timelines for several ETF decisions, causing the SEC to miss mid-October deadlines. Grayscale’s XRP ETF was slated for review on October 17, with subsequent considerations for 21Shares, Bitwise, Canary Capital, CoinShares, and WisdomTree. Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett has reported that these delays might inadvertently facilitate automatic approvals if the SEC does not issue additional comments.

For Canary Capital’s application, the next step involves Nasdaq’s evaluation of its Form 8-A, provided no SEC interventions occur. This process supports Geraci’s two-week window, highlighting how external factors like the shutdown interplay with regulatory progress.

Broader Implications for XRP and Crypto Markets

Beyond immediate launches, the approval of spot XRP ETFs could enhance liquidity and price stability for XRP, which has long been associated with cross-border payments through Ripple’s network. The token’s utility in financial transfers positions it uniquely among cryptocurrencies, and ETF access would democratize investment opportunities for retail and institutional players alike.

Authoritative sources, including reports from Bloomberg Intelligence, indicate that the post-lawsuit environment has boosted XRP’s trading volumes by over 20% in recent months. Expert commentary from figures like Geraci reinforces the view that such products will normalize crypto within traditional portfolios, potentially mirroring the $50 billion-plus inflows seen in Bitcoin ETFs since their 2024 debut.

While challenges remain—such as ongoing SEC scrutiny of altcoin products—the resolution of Ripple’s case sets a precedent. It demonstrates how legal clarity can catalyze innovation, encouraging more firms to explore XRP-based financial instruments.

In summary, the convergence of resolved litigation, active filings, and analyst optimism points to transformative growth for spot XRP ETFs. Stakeholders in the crypto space should prepare for heightened activity, as these developments could redefine access to one of the market’s foundational assets.

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