AVAX Faces Bearish Momentum: Decline to $30 Likely Amid Selling Pressure

• Avalanche (AVAX) is experiencing a consolidation phase amid recent market volatility.
• Selling momentum appears dominant, affecting short-term price forecasts.
• “The technical indicators do not favor a bullish outlook for AVAX at this point,” noted a market analyst.

An in-depth look at Avalanche’s consolidation phase, examining current market trends and indicators influencing AVAX’s price dynamics.

AVAX’s Persistent Range Consolidation

Avalanche (AVAX) has been trading within a narrow range for the past six weeks, fluctuating between its primary support and resistance levels. This trend highlights a period of market indecision, where neither bulls nor bears are establishing a decisive momentum.

Indicators Point to Bearish Sentiment

An analysis of the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a steady decline, falling below neutral territory. This suggests a growing bearish sentiment among traders. Concurrently, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) reveals sustained selling pressure since mid-April, underlining the absence of strong buying activity. Without a shift in these indicators, the bearish trend for AVAX is likely to persist.

Market Speculation and Its Impact on AVAX

Open Interest data from derivative platforms suggests that traders are cautious. Since May 23, Open Interest has remained around $200 million, while AVAX’s price gently declined from $38 to $36. This tepid market response signals limited speculative trading activity, contributing to the asset’s stagnant performance.

The Role of Positive Funding Rates

Despite the prevailing bearish trends, funding rates for AVAX have remained positive. This reflects a lack of overwhelming short positions against AVAX, suggesting that some market participants still see potential upside. However, spot CVD trends align with the OBV, indicating consistent selling pressure that overshadows any potential short-term recoveries.

Conclusion

Avalanche (AVAX) faces continued bearish pressure with little sign of imminent recovery. Both technical indicators and market sentiment support a cautious outlook for AVAX. Traders should closely monitor changes in momentum and volume before making significant investment decisions.