Bitcoin Accumulation Trends Suggest Possible Bullish Momentum Despite Price Correction and Double-Top Concerns

  • Bitcoin’s recent market behavior reveals a strong accumulation phase despite price corrections, signaling sustained investor confidence in the cryptocurrency’s bullish potential.

  • Long-term holders are increasing their Bitcoin positions while short-term holders reduce selling pressure, supported by persistent negative exchange flows.

  • According to COINOTAG insights, the decline in short-term holder profits and steady net outflows from exchanges underscore a robust foundation for Bitcoin’s upward momentum.

Bitcoin accumulation continues amid price corrections, driven by long-term holders and negative exchange flows, indicating strong bullish sentiment for BTC’s future.

Bitcoin Accumulation Strengthens Despite Market Correction

Bitcoin’s price recently experienced a correction from the $111,000 level, raising concerns about a potential double-top formation reminiscent of 2021’s cycle peak. However, on-chain data reveals a contrasting narrative. Investor behavior indicates sustained accumulation, particularly among long-term holders who are increasing their BTC positions. This trend is supported by a continuous negative net exchange flow, with over 3,600 BTC leaving exchanges daily since March. Such outflows typically suggest that investors prefer to hold their assets off exchanges, reducing the likelihood of immediate selling pressure and signaling confidence in future price appreciation.

Bitcoin Exchange Flow

Source: Axel Adler Jr on X

Short-Term Holder Profit-Taking Declines Signaling Market Stability

Further reinforcing the bullish outlook, short-term holders (STHs) have significantly reduced their profit-taking activities. The Short-Term Holder Profit to Exchanges metric shows a sharp decline in BTC profits flowing to exchanges over recent weeks. When Bitcoin first neared $111,000, profit flows peaked at 49.5k BTC, but by early June, these spikes diminished to just 3.4k BTC. This reduction suggests that STH sellers are becoming exhausted, which typically precedes a period of price consolidation or upward momentum as selling pressure eases.

BTC STH PnL

Source: Adler Insights

Long-Term Holders Drive Bitcoin’s Positive Momentum

Long-term holders (LTHs) have emerged as key drivers of Bitcoin’s current accumulation phase. Since April, the 30-day Net Position Change for LTHs turned positive, with a net increase of approximately 535,000 BTC. This shift indicates that large investors and whales have ceased selling and are actively accumulating BTC, anticipating future price gains. Historical patterns support this behavior; similar accumulation phases by LTHs in late 2023 and 2024 preceded significant price rallies. The current trend suggests a potential buildup for another upward movement, reinforcing the market’s bullish foundation.

BTC LTH net position change

Source: Adler Insights

Market Sentiment and Technical Indicators Align for Potential Upside

While public enthusiasm, as measured by Google Trends, remains subdued, the underlying market dynamics suggest a strengthening bullish case. The combination of sustained withdrawals from exchanges, declining short-term selling, and increased accumulation by long-term holders creates a robust foundation for Bitcoin’s price stability and potential growth. Technical indicators, including exchange net flows and holder profit metrics, corroborate this outlook, providing investors with data-driven confidence amid prevailing market uncertainties.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s recent market activity underscores a clear trend of accumulation driven by long-term holders and reduced selling pressure from short-term investors. The persistent negative exchange flow and declining profit-taking signal a market poised for potential upward momentum. While price corrections and technical patterns warrant caution, the on-chain data reflects strong investor conviction in Bitcoin’s bullish trajectory. Market participants should monitor these key metrics closely as they offer valuable insights into Bitcoin’s evolving market dynamics and future prospects.

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