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BTC supply hits record low on exchanges. Are long-term holders quietly setting the stage for the next breakout?
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Bitcoin’s Exchange Reserves dropped to 2.2 million BTC, hitting the lowest level ever recorded on CEXes.
 
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With supply shrinking and conviction rising, BTC may be gearing up for a fresh rally if sentiment flips.
 
Bitcoin [BTC] is back in the spotlight as its Exchange Reserves hit an all-time low. 
According to CryptoQuant reports, BTC reserves across centralized platforms dropped to their lowest on record, just 2.2 million BTC.
The ongoing accumulation by investors, who move their coins into cold storage, is a classic indicator of long-term accumulation.
  
  
    
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Accumulation phase amidst market uncertainty
The reduction in Exchange Reserves indicates a cool selling pressure in the market. This trend is a sign of growing optimism among long-term investors.
By removing Bitcoin from exchanges, investors reduce short-term selling pressures. This seems to position subsequent rallies, as demand outstrips the current supply.
  
  
    
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Moreover, the consistent outflows suggest that investors are positioning for higher prices. Having said that, not everyone is in profit yet.

  
  
    
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Source: CryptoQuant
Unrealized losses are growing
Despite the accumulation trend, Net Unrealized Losses (NUL) have risen steadily. This means more holders are now underwater.
Interestingly, this exact setup—rising unrealized losses paired with low exchange balances—has preceded major price rebounds in the past.
It reflects a resilient market. Weaker hands sell, while long-term holders double down. The pressure builds quietly.
  
  
    
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The combination of low reserves and unrealized losses gives a snapshot of a market waiting for something to trigger it.

  
  
    
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Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin dominance is still strong
In the meantime, Bitcoin’s dominance over the rest of the crypto universe remains unbroken. BTC dominance is projected to persist, as seen from several positive on-chain metrics.
  
  
    
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This is typical when investors turn to safer grounds in times of altcoin weakness or vagueness elsewhere in the market.
Assuming this Bitcoin advantage continues, and market conditions return to normal, a new rally could be on the cards.
  
  
    
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This one would be fueled by increased institutional exposure in the form of ETFs and renewed retail interest.
With Exchange Reserves depleted and NUL climbing, the market appears coiled for movement.
  
  
    
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The key question is simple: Can Bitcoin convert this quiet accumulation into a breakout?
If conviction holds—and external triggers align—BTC could lead the next leg up.
Conclusion
In summary, the combination of dwindling Exchange Reserves and rising unrealized losses paints a compelling picture of Bitcoin’s current market position. As long-term investors continue to accumulate, the potential for a breakout remains on the horizon. By understanding these market dynamics, stakeholders can navigate the evolving landscape more effectively.
  
  
    
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