Bitcoin Failed Bearish Signal: A Prelude to an $85K Surge?

  • Bitcoin’s recent bearish signal failure suggests a potential rally to $85,000.
  • Historical patterns and technical analysis forecast a bullish breakout.
  • The TD Sequential indicator points to significant upward momentum.

This analysis explores the potential for BTC to reach $85,000 following a failed bearish signal, backed by historical data and market indicators.

Understanding the Failed Bearish Signal in Bitcoin’s Market

Bitcoin recently exhibited a bearish TD9 sell setup on the weekly TD Sequential, a pattern typically indicative of an impending price drop. However, instead of leading to a major correction, this setup failed, creating an intriguing scenario in technical analysis. Historically, when a bearish signal in a predominantly bullish pattern fails, it often results in a substantial move in the opposite direction. In Bitcoin’s case, this failed bearish signal could catalyze a significant bullish breakout, potentially propelling BTC to new heights.

The Role of TD Sequential in Predicting Bitcoin’s Trajectory

Bitcoin CME Futures 1 Week Chart

The TD Sequential, developed by Thomas Demark, is a crucial market timing indicator that plays a significant role in forecasting Bitcoin’s price movements. This indicator uses a sequence of candles to signal trend exhaustion, with a TD9 setup or TD13 countdown indicating a potential reversal. Reflecting on Bitcoin’s history, a similar failed TD9 sell setup in 2020 led to a staggering 143% rally in just four weeks, ultimately resulting in over 300% growth. If Bitcoin follows a comparable pattern after this recent failed signal, it could potentially soar to $85,000 by the end of December, with long-term prospects reaching over $200,000 per coin.

In addition to predicting upward movements, the TD Sequential also provides TDST support and resistance levels, which adjust with each completed setup. The latest development has raised the TDST floor price support from $10,000 to $25,000, significantly reducing the likelihood of Bitcoin falling below these levels again.

Comparative Analysis: 2020’s Rally Versus Current Market Conditions

Drawing parallels with December 2020, when Bitcoin experienced a similar failed TD9 sell setup, the cryptocurrency surged past its former all-time high resistance. This precedent sets a compelling case for Bitcoin’s potential ascent to $85,000 in the near term. Such a move would not only mark a new all-time high but also reinforce the thesis that Bitcoin is poised for significant growth in 2023.

Conclusion

BTCUSD 4D Chart 18 NOV
BTCUSD 4D Chart 18 NOV

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s recent failed bearish signal, analyzed through the lens of technical patterns and historical precedents, suggests a strong bullish momentum that could propel its value to unprecedented levels. While the crypto market is known for its volatility, the current indicators and past trends paint a promising picture for Bitcoin’s journey towards $85,000 and beyond, possibly redefining its market dynamics in the coming months.

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