Bitcoin May Face 100k Level Break as Weak Demand and Liquidations Signal a Shakeout

• Capitulation evident in on‑chain data: short‑term holders are now breaking even after BTC fell below their $113 k cost basis.

• Realised losses spiked to the highest level since April, confirming the market is in a shakeout phase.

• An 8% weekly pullback after a brief 4% bounce at $110 k shows thinning bid depth, warning that a breakdown below $100 k is plausible.

Bitcoin’s latest dip reflects a deep shakeout, with on‑chain indicators pointing to capitulation. Read on to understand the current market dynamics and forecast the next move.

What is Bitcoin’s recent dip signalling?

Bitcoin’s current drop demonstrates a sharp increase in realised losses, with the net realised profit/loss turning negative and a cumulative loss of more than $2.75 billion within 72 hours. These on‑chain metrics point to a strong bear‑controlled shakeout, where weak longs are being liquidated and short‑term holders are capitulating. Bitcoin is therefore in a period of significant capital outflow.

Source: Glassnode

Can the $110k bounce be trusted?

The brief 4% rebound to $110 k was driven by a sudden influx of liquidity but was not underpinned by sustainable spot demand. CoinGlass data shows the long/short ratio spiked above 60 % on the 13th, signalling an overleveraged position that collapsed once the market turned. Near $1 billion of market‑wide liquidations followed, turning the bounce into a classic bull trap and making a breakdown below $100 k increasingly likely.

Source: CoinGlass

Key Takeaways

• Capitulation signs: Short‑term holders are breaking even after BTC slipped below their cost basis.
• Realised loss spike: The $2.75 billion loss surge marks the steepest since April.
• Weak support: Thinning bids and high liquidations reduce confidence in the $110 k support level.

Conclusion

Bitcoin currently faces a bear‑controlled shakeout, reflected by sharp on‑chain losses and weak spot demand. With the market in a capitulation phase, watchers should stay cautious of further declines, particularly below the $100 k threshold. COINOTAG will monitor evolving on‑chain trends to provide timely insights into Bitcoin’s next moves.

Bitcoin’s sharp dip shows strong on‑chain losses and capitulation signals; discover what this means for price dynamics and future moves.

By COINOTAG | Updated: 18 October 2025