Bitcoin May Reclaim $118K–$119K as Whales Accumulate After 1,000 BTC Dormant Move; Netflows Remain Negative

  • 1,000 BTC dormant whale awakened after 12 years

  • Sharks and whales added ~12k–62.5k BTC across cohorts, signaling aggressive accumulation.

  • Exchange Netflow turned negative (−2.2k BTC), indicating sustained outflows and reduced sell-side liquidity.

Bitcoin price outlook: BTC shows renewed accumulation and negative exchange netflows; watch $118k–$119k targets or a $115k retrace if dormants hit exchanges — read more.

What is driving Bitcoin’s recent surge?

Bitcoin’s price outlook is being driven by on-chain shifts: a dormant whale moved 1,000 BTC, large entities and smaller cohorts accumulated tens of thousands of BTC, and exchange netflows remained negative—reducing available sell-side supply and applying upward price pressure.

How did dormant coin movement affect market sentiment?

Supply Adjusted Dormancy spiked to 0.0000012 on Sept 15 before a minor retracement to 0.00000114 on Sept 16, indicating older coins began moving. This movement included a dormant wallet that transferred 1,000 BTC after 12 years, worth about $116.88 million at transfer.

Bitcoin Supply adjusted dormant

Source: CryptoQuant (plain text)

The dormant transfer implied older BTC changed hands; the rise was modest and not a broad dormant-wave liquidation. Lookonchain flagged the specific 1,000 BTC transfer, which the receiving wallet had originally been credited at ~$847 per BTC more than a decade ago.

Dormant whale transfer

Source: Lookonchain (plain text)

How are large entities and cohorts positioning?

Large entities continued stacking BTC. A newly created whale wallet reportedly received 5,817 BTC from FalconX, and cohort-level metrics showed Fish and Sharks’ Balance Change rose to ~62.5k BTC, with ~12k BTC added in three days.

Bitcoin sharks balance change

Source: Checkonchain (plain text)

Balance-change upticks indicate buying outpaced spending across cohorts, a hallmark of aggressive accumulation. These patterns often precede upward price moves as available liquid supply tightens.

What do exchange flows indicate about buyer/seller behavior?

CryptoQuant data recorded consecutively negative Exchange Netflow for four days, with Netflow at −2.2k BTC at press time—more outflows than inflows. Persistent outflows reduce exchange reserves and can support higher prices absent significant sell pressure.

Bitcoin netflow

Source: CryptoQuant (plain text)

What are the key price levels to watch?

Front-loaded technical targets: upside near $118,102–$119,352 if accumulation continues. Downside risk increases if the 1,000 BTC dormant transfer or other large holdings are deposited to exchanges, which could pressure prices toward $115,203.

Frequently Asked Questions

How significant is a 1,000 BTC dormant move?

A 1,000 BTC dormant transfer is significant in size and market psychology—worth roughly $116.9M at the time—because it represents long-dormant supply re-entering circulation and may precede custody, OTC settlement, or potential exchange activity.

Why do negative exchange netflows matter for price?

Negative exchange netflows show more BTC leaving exchanges than entering, lowering available sell liquidity and often correlating with upward price pressure if demand persists.




Key Takeaways

  • Dormant movement: A 1,000 BTC transfer after 12 years highlights returning long-term supply activity.
  • Accumulation: Whales and cohorts added substantial BTC (~12k–62.5k BTC), signaling conviction and reduced float.
  • Exchange flows: Persistent negative netflows (−2.2k BTC) lower exchange liquidity and support upward pressure; watch $118k–$119k and $115k as key levels.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s short-term price outlook appears constructive as long-term dormant transfers coincide with broad accumulation and negative exchange netflows. Continued whale and cohort buying supports resistance targets near $118,102–$119,352, while deposits of large dormant holdings to exchanges would increase downside risk toward $115,203. COINOTAG will monitor on-chain signals and update readers as flows evolve.

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