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Bitcoin Nears $90K Again Amid Low Volume Swings and Rising Open Interest

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(08:58 PM UTC)
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  • Bitcoin nears $90K amid low-volume swings, per TradingView BTC/USDT 4-hour chart.

  • Year-to-date down 5% after peaking at record high in early October, up 30% earlier.

  • Open interest rose $2.4 billion in December despite 40% trading drop, Bitcoin OI up to $23 billion per CryptoQuant data.

BTC/USDT 4-hour price chart. Source: TradingViewBTC/USDT 4-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin nears $90,000 second day in row amid volatility. Explore Trump policy impacts, ETF outflows, open interest surge. Get key insights for crypto investors now.

What Is Driving Bitcoin’s Climb Toward $90,000?

Bitcoin’s climb toward $90,000 reflects renewed buying interest from digital currency holders aiming to offset losses before year-end. After stabilizing between $85,000 and $95,000 following an October pullback, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap has shown resilience. Jasper De Maere, desk strategist at Wintermute, advises caution on short-term patterns, noting low trading volumes will persist through New Year’s, urging traders to await normalized activity for clearer signals.

How Are Trump Policies Impacting Crypto Markets?

Bitcoin began 2024 with strong gains fueled by optimism over the Trump administration’s pro-crypto stance, but tariff policies rattled global markets and pressured prices. Unlike rebounding U.S. equities, Bitcoin lagged post-October 10, when massive leveraged position liquidations occurred, wiping out record volumes. Bitcoin-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $6 billion in outflows during the year’s final quarter, per Bloomberg Intelligence data, as prices hovered below $90,000. This sustained selling intensified downside momentum despite broader risk asset recoveries. Market observers note tariffs heightened macroeconomic uncertainty, amplifying volatility in leveraged crypto environments.

Frequently Asked Questions

What Caused Bitcoin’s Recent Decline After Its October High?

Bitcoin’s drop followed a record high in early October, driven by leveraged position liquidations on October 10 and subsequent ETF outflows totaling $6 billion in Q4, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. Tariff policy concerns from the Trump administration further weighed on sentiment, marking a potential first annual loss in three years at -5% year-to-date.

Will Open Interest Growth Signal Bitcoin Recovery?

Open interest in crypto futures has surged $2.4 billion in December to $38 billion despite 40% lower trading volumes, with Bitcoin rising from $22 billion to $23 billion and Ethereum to $15 billion, per CryptoQuant. This indicates sustained trader optimism around $88,000 levels even as fear index sits at 37.

Key Takeaways

  • Year-End Volatility Ahead: Expect significant swings through New Year’s due to thin volumes, as noted by Wintermute’s Jasper De Maere—avoid overreacting to short-term moves.
  • Policy Pressures Persist: Trump tariffs and $6 billion ETF outflows have capped Bitcoin below $90,000, contrasting equity rebounds.
  • Trader Optimism Intact: Open interest up 7% signals positioning buildup on major exchanges like Binance and OKX—monitor for normalized trading post-holidays.

Conclusion

As Bitcoin nears $90,000 amid Trump policy impacts and ETF pressures, surging open interest underscores trader conviction despite low volumes and potential yearly losses. Bitcoin’s path reflects broader crypto market resilience, with key data from sources like CryptoQuant and Bloomberg Intelligence highlighting positioning for 2026. Investors should track volume recovery and policy developments closely for informed positioning.

Digital asset markets remain dynamic, with Bitcoin’s range-bound action between $85,000 and $95,000 post-October illustrating sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts. Holders’ push for year-end gains aligns with historical patterns of holiday volatility, though experts like De Maere emphasize patience. Major platforms including Binance, OKX, and Bybit have steadily accumulated futures contracts, bolstering open interest even as spot trading dipped 40%. This divergence suggests leveraged bets on upside persist, with fear index at 37 indicating neutral-to-bullish sentiment near $88,000.

CryptoQuant analysts observe this buildup coincides with Bitcoin’s stabilization, potentially setting the stage for breakouts once liquidity improves. Earlier 2024 surges, up 30% before the peak, contrast the 5% yearly dip, underscoring the asset’s cyclical nature. Professional traders prioritize data-driven strategies, avoiding speculation amid thin books.

Gideon Wolf

Gideon Wolf

GideonWolff is a 27-year-old technical analyst and journalist with extensive experience in the cryptocurrency industry. With a focus on technical analysis and news reporting, GideonWolff provides valuable insights on market trends and potential opportunities for both investors and those interested in the world of cryptocurrency.
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