Bitcoin Price May Retest 50-Day Moving Average as Whales Increase Exposure Amid Mixed Market Signals

  • Bitcoin (BTC) price is currently retesting recently reclaimed levels, with the 50-day moving average emerging as a critical buying opportunity for investors.

  • Market data reveals a divergence between whale accumulation and retail profit-taking, signaling contrasting strategies among different investor groups.

  • According to COINOTAG analysis, the ongoing support retest is described as “normal and healthy,” with key technical indicators pointing to potential further upside.

Bitcoin price retests key levels as whales increase exposure; 50-day moving average signals a buying opportunity amid mixed market sentiment.

Bitcoin Price Consolidation and Whale Accumulation Signal Market Strength

Following a sharp rally to ten-day highs near $108,000, Bitcoin has entered a phase of consolidation, reflecting a pause in momentum as market participants reassess positions. Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView highlight that while smaller retail investors are taking profits, whales and institutional players are increasing their BTC exposure. This divergence suggests that the so-called “smart money” remains confident in Bitcoin’s medium-term prospects.

Order book liquidity analysis from CoinGlass shows a robust cluster of bids supporting the price, particularly around the $107,000 to $108,000 range. This liquidity acts as a cushion against sharp declines, indicating strong buyer interest at these levels. The presence of significant long liquidation walls just below current prices further underscores the delicate balance between bullish and bearish forces in the short term.

On-Chain Metrics Reveal Divergent Investor Behavior

On-chain analytics firm Glassnode reports that wallets holding between 10 and 100 BTC continue to accumulate, while smaller holders with 1 to 10 BTC are distributing their holdings. The Accumulation Trend Score has rebounded from 0.25 to 0.57, reflecting increased buying activity among larger holders despite mixed signals elsewhere. This pattern often precedes sustained upward price movements, as accumulation by whales can provide a foundation for future rallies.

Popular crypto commentator TheKingfisher highlighted the significance of the $107,000 level, noting the concentration of long liquidation orders clustered just below this price point. This suggests a potential short-term dip as weaker hands are shaken out, creating opportunities for stronger hands to build positions.

Technical Analysis Points to 50-Day Moving Average as Key Support

Material Indicators co-founder Keith Alan described the recent price retracement from $108,000 as “normal and healthy,” emphasizing the importance of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) currently near $105,700. This technical level is widely regarded as a critical support zone where buyers typically step in to accumulate.

Alan anticipates that if Bitcoin’s price dips below the 50-day SMA, it could trigger a further shakeout of weak hands, presenting a strategic buying opportunity for long-term investors. This aligns with historical price behavior where retracements to the 50-day SMA often precede renewed bullish momentum.

Supporting this view, proprietary trading tools have recently generated green “buy” signals on daily charts, reinforcing the notion that the current consolidation phase may be a precursor to further gains.

Market Outlook and Strategic Considerations for Investors

Given the mixed behavior between retail and whale investors, market participants should monitor key technical levels closely, particularly the $105,700 50-day SMA. The current liquidity landscape and on-chain data suggest that while short-term volatility may persist, the underlying trend remains constructive.

Investors are advised to consider accumulation strategies around established support levels, leveraging dips as potential entry points. Maintaining a disciplined approach to risk management will be essential as Bitcoin navigates this critical phase of price discovery.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s recent price action underscores a nuanced market environment where whale accumulation contrasts with retail profit-taking, creating a complex but promising setup. The 50-day moving average serves as a pivotal support level and potential buying opportunity, signaling confidence among informed investors. As Bitcoin consolidates near $108,000, market participants should remain attentive to liquidity dynamics and technical indicators to navigate the evolving landscape effectively.

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