- Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction reinforces the short-term bearish outlook to $54,000 amid CPI data volatility and persistent drop in the CME futures OI.
- Bitcoin price delicately holds $58,000 support after the US CPI report.
- The CME BTC futures open interest slides 5% to $8.36 billion, hinting at intense headwinds ahead.
- The IOMAP model brings into light, robust resistance at $64,000 with a 944.51k BTC volume.
- Reclaiming the 200-day EMA support/resistance will help affirm the bullish grip and lead to recovery above $60,000.
Bitcoin price prediction showed a continued correction following the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday.
Bitcoin May Slide To $54,000 As OI Plunges
Bitcoin price gently retreated to $58,730 following the latest US CPI data release. With inflation easing to 2.9% annually, hopes are rising for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve, potentially reducing some of the stress on risk assets like Bitcoin. However, the initial optimism did not provide sufficient support, as Bitcoin briefly dipped below $60,000, demonstrating again why CPI data tends to introduce volatility.
Downward Pressure from CME Futures OI Drop
Observations from Coinglass show a 5% decline in CME Bitcoin futures open interest (OI), now sitting at $8.36 billion. Such a drop indicates waning trader confidence and suggests a potential further decline to the $54,000 level. Historically, a reduction in CME futures OI often correlates with a downturn in Bitcoin prices. This trend remains a focal point for market analysts reviewing near-term price movements.
Bitcoin Holds Crucial Support Amid IOMAP Analysis
Bitcoin price has managed to hold crucial supports identified by the IntoTheBlock IOMAP model. According to the data, there is notable support between $54,955 and $56,695, where roughly 585.78k BTC were acquired by 874.5k addresses. This strong foundation is crucial for any upward momentum, which could drive BTC towards the $70,000 mark.
Key Resistance Levels and Bullish Reversal
The IOMAP data also emphasizes a significant resistance zone between $63,728 and $65,468, where 944.51k BTC were purchased by 1.61 million addresses. For Bitcoin to shift its current bearish outlook, breaching this resistance area is imperative. Overcoming this hurdle will potentially invalidate the downward thesis and could propel Bitcoin to new highs.
Technical Outlook and Price Stability
Currently, Bitcoin’s rebound from $58,000 is under scrutiny. The RSI’s movement into neutral territory, inching closer to oversold levels, hints at a heightened risk of further declines to $54,000. However, if buyers can reclaim the 200-day EMA at $59,454, this could alleviate downward pressures and support a bullish trajectory above $60,000.
Conclusion
The ongoing analysis of Bitcoin’s price amidst CPI data volatility suggests a cautious outlook. The short-term bearish momentum could see Bitcoin testing the $54,000 mark again. However, the realignment above crucial supports and the breaching of significant resistance levels might offer a recovery path. Traders should remain vigilant, tracking key technical indicators and market sentiment to navigate Bitcoin’s unpredictable landscape.
