Bitcoin Shows Hidden Bull Divergence, Could Target $116,652–$124,500 Amid Rising US Spot ETF Inflows

• Hidden Bull Divergence confirmed — target above $116,652

• US Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold over 1.3 million BTC, driving institutional demand.

• Fed rate cuts and rising RSI alignments support momentum; BTC consolidates near $115,674.

Bitcoin hidden bull divergence signals targets above $116,652 and $124,500; monitor ETF flows and RSI for breakout confirmation. Read the full technical outlook.

Bitcoin confirms Hidden Bull Divergence with targets above $116,652 and highs near $124,500. Institutional demand grows as US Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold over 1.3 million BTC with strong inflows. Fed rate cuts and RSI alignment support momentum as Bitcoin consolidates near $115,674.

• Bitcoin confirms Hidden Bull Divergence with targets above $116,652 and highs near $124,500.
• Institutional demand grows as US Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold over 1.3 million BTC with strong inflows.
• Fed rate cuts and RSI alignment support momentum as Bitcoin consolidates near $115,674.

Bitcoin maintained momentum near $115,674 as traders observed technical setups that continued to shape market direction. After confirming another Hidden Bull Divergence, $BTC looks set for a clean break above $116,652 and the current All Time Highs near $124,500. If momentum holds, an extended target near $165,745 becomes plausible, implying a further ~33% upside from ATH levels. This trajectory traces earlier analysis that began near $16,782 and projected multi-hundred percent moves through successive cycles.

What is the Hidden Bull Divergence and why does it matter now?

The Hidden Bull Divergence is a technical pattern where price makes higher lows while momentum indicators make lower lows, suggesting continuation of an uptrend. In this instance, RSI alignment with price structure strengthens the case for a near-term breakout above $116,652 and potential retests of ATH levels.

How are market levels and structure shaping Bitcoin’s path?

Support consolidated around $67,559 while resistance formed at $116,652, extending toward $165,745 if buyers maintain control. Past cycle behavior shows rejections at $30,000, $48,000, and $93,000 followed by renewed rallies, indicating a rhythm of retest-and-break. Traders are watching the $115,000–$116,000 band for confirmation of continuation or a failed breakout.

Technical indicators show the RSI rallying relative to previous corrections in 2022–2023, reinforcing bullish bias. The market structure displays consistent rejection-and-retest patterns; a sustained move above $117,000 would increase the probability of a run toward $124,500 and beyond.

How strong is institutional demand and what does it imply?

US Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded weekly inflows of $886 million and cumulative ETF holdings exceed 1.3 million BTC, reflecting broad institutional uptake. Futures open interest remained elevated near $84.5 billion with CME posting roughly $17.22 billion, according to CoinGlass data. These flows suggest a deepening institutional bid that can support higher price levels under favorable macro conditions.

Macroeconomic factors also underpin sentiment. The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points in September 2025, which briefly lifted risk appetite and saw Bitcoin spike toward $118,000 before consolidating. Traders will monitor PCE inflation data, expected near 2.7% for August, as it may influence short-term liquidity and risk flows.

When should traders consider action and what are key triggers?

Key triggers include a daily close above $116,652 and sustained order flow into US Spot ETFs. A confirmed break above $117,000 on volume would be a technical signal for increased bullish allocation. Conversely, failure to hold $115,000–$116,000 would increase risk of a deeper consolidation toward established support near $67,559.

Frequently Asked Questions

What price targets are implied by the current setup?

Short-term targets begin at $116,652, with an intermediate test of ATHs near $124,500. A sustained breakout could extend toward $165,745 as a longer-term stretch target if momentum and institutional flows continue.

How do ETF inflows affect Bitcoin price?

ETF inflows increase institutional custody demand and reduce available supply, which can provide upward price pressure. Recent weekly inflows (~$886 million) and holdings above 1.3 million BTC are significant liquidity signals.

What risk management should traders use here?

Traders should place stop-losses below the $115,000 level on leveraged positions and size positions relative to volatility. Monitor RSI divergence, volume confirmation, and ETF flow reports for real-time risk assessment.

Key Takeaways

• Technical signal: Hidden Bull Divergence favors continuation with initial target above $116,652.
• Institutional support: US Spot ETF inflows and holdings over 1.3M BTC add structural demand.
• Macro catalyst: Fed rate cut and upcoming PCE data are key macro triggers to watch.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s current setup—marked by a confirmed hidden bull divergence, strong ETF inflows, and supportive macro conditions—positions $BTC for a potential breakout above $116,652 toward $124,500 and a longer-term target near $165,745. Traders should watch volume, RSI, and ETF flows for confirmation and manage risk around the $115,000 area. COINOTAG will continue tracking on-chain and market signals.