Bitcoin Tests $110K Support as Analysts Warn Cycle May Slow; Break Could Push Price Toward $100K, Recovery Possible in Fall 2025

• Bitcoin price faces immediate support at the ascending trendline near $110K, with a break risking a drop to $100K.

• Analysts cite slowing cycle momentum, altcoin inflows stalling BTC upside, and heavier selling volume as warning signs.

• Macro catalysts—an expected rate cut and potential altcoin ETF approvals—could spur a recovery in fall 2025.

Bitcoin price tests $110K support; read technical outlook, key levels, expert quotes, and fall 2025 recovery odds—actionable market insights and entry points.

Bitcoin tests key support near $110K as analysts warn of cycle slowdown, with corrections seen as opportunities before a fall 2025 recovery.

• Bitcoin faces pressure near $110K as analysts warn of slowing cycle momentum while altcoin inflows stall its recovery.
• Breaking below the trendline could drag Bitcoin toward $100K though a rebound may trigger another push to new all-time highs.
• Analysts see fall 2025 recovery chances supported by rate cuts and altcoin ETF approvals even as Bitcoin dominance weakens.

What is happening to Bitcoin price as it tests support near $110K?

Bitcoin price is trading on a key ascending trendline after rejection near $112,000, showing immediate weakness as selling volume rises. If the support fails, BTC could decline toward $100,000; if it holds, momentum may resume and push toward new all-time highs supported by macro tailwinds.

How are on-chain and technical signals describing the current cycle?

On-chain analysts such as Crypto Dan note the market cycle is flattening despite long-term holder dominance. Technical voices like Doctor Profit highlight the loss of a previously reliable support (“Golden Line”), calling it an extremely bearish signal. Chart patterns show lower highs since the $112,640 peak and concentrated selling as price reaches the trendline.

Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin’s latest price action is flashing urgency as the world’s largest cryptocurrency tests a critical support zone. After facing rejection near $112,000, Bitcoin slipped to $110,104.78, marking a 2.19% daily decline. The rejection follows a steady climb from the mid-$80,000 range in May, but analysts now warn of mounting risks.

CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan explained that the current market cycle is slowing compared to past ones. He noted that Bitcoin’s long-term holders still dominate supply, but the slope of the uptrend is flattening. Institutional adoption, spot ETFs, and national-level recognition have extended the cycle, yet capital rotation into altcoins often stalls BTC momentum.

Why does the trendline matter and what are the technical scenarios?

The ascending purple trendline has served as support since May, creating bounce points near $86,000, $100,000, and $102,000. Bitcoin now trades directly on this support. Scenario 1: a break below the trendline would likely accelerate selling toward $100,000. Scenario 2: a defended trendline could trigger renewed buyer interest and a push to fresh all-time highs.

Source: Doctor Profit

When could macro factors alter the outlook?

Macro drivers are critical. Market participants are watching a likely rate cut in September and potential altcoin ETF approvals in October. These events could increase liquidity and rotate capital back into risk assets, supporting a recovery into fall 2025. Analysts therefore view short-term corrections as potential entry points rather than definitive trend reversals.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will a break below $110K mean Bitcoin will drop to $100K?

A confirmed breakdown below the ascending trendline increases the probability of a drop toward $100,000, driven by stop-loss cascades and reduced buyer confidence. Traders should watch volume and daily closes for confirmation, as rebounds can invalidate the bearish path.

How should traders approach risk during this consolidation?

Traders should use position sizing and layered entries, monitor on-chain metrics and trendline behavior, and set clear stop-loss levels. Consider buying on confirmed support defenses rather than chasing a rapid rebound to limit downside exposure.

Key Takeaways

• Immediate support: The ascending trendline near $110K is the primary level to watch for a short-term decision.
• Technical warning signs: Loss of the “Golden Line” and rising selling volume point to weakening momentum.
• Macro catalysts: Expected rate cuts and potential ETF approvals could support a fall 2025 recovery; corrections may offer entry points.

Conclusion

Bitcoin price is at a pivotal juncture: technical weakness and altcoin inflows complicate the near-term outlook, while macro catalysts provide a plausible path for recovery in fall 2025. Market participants should prioritize risk management, watch the $110K trendline closely, and prepare for either a corrective washout or a resumption toward new highs.

By COINOTAG — Published: 2025-08-29 — Updated: 2025-08-29