- Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a significant drop this week, returning to levels seen two months ago.
- This decline has affected the sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, with traders starting to prefer short positions in a market dominated by a downward trend.
- According to crypto analyst Vinicius Barbosa, this could lead to a ‘short squeeze’ in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin’s recent drop has shifted the market sentiment, with traders leaning towards short positions. This could potentially lead to a ‘short squeeze’ in the near future.
Potential ‘short squeeze’ for the leading cryptocurrency
During the crash, traders with long positions lost $400 million in liquidations, primarily due to prevailing fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). This long squeeze has rebalanced Bitcoin’s derivatives market by clearing most of the opened long positions. Consequently, the market’s open interest (OI) has gained weight towards short positions, reaching record negative funding rates since the beginning of the year. Data from CoinGlass shows that BTC’s OI weighted funding rate is at its worst levels since 2024.
Bitcoin ‘short squeeze’ and potential price targets
Bitcoin was trading below the key resistance level of $60,000. This level is significant both psychologically and from a technical analysis perspective, given that it has been a strong support since March. Therefore, surpassing $60,000 could lead to a sentiment shift towards ‘fear of missing out’ (FOMO), turning large collateral liquidity pools into BTC price targets for market makers. This could potentially trigger two ‘short squeeze’ events.
Bitcoin’s potential ‘short squeeze’ and price targets
Bitcoin has a short seller liquidation worth $1.72 billion at $71,715. CoinGlass’s one-month heat map also shows significant liquidity pools at $67,420. Additionally, there are smaller pools around both key regions. A ‘short squeeze’ could reward Bitcoin investors with gains of 14% and 21% respectively from the first and second liquidation levels from $59,200.
Conclusion
A potential ‘short squeeze’ and gains above 14% present an optimistic outlook. However, investors should exercise caution when trading Bitcoin due to macroeconomic concerns related to the Fed’s interest rates and microeconomic concerns related to a drop in revenue affecting Bitcoin miners’ network security. In this context, investment experts at Standard Chartered bank predict that BTC will reach between $52,000 and $50,000 in the short term. However, cryptocurrencies, including BTC, are highly volatile, making it difficult to predict further performance.
