BTC January 15, 2026: Slight Correction in Strong Uptrend and Critical Resistance Test

Bitcoin is consolidating in a strong uptrend around $95,500, maintaining its momentum despite a slight 1.96% drop in the last 24 hours. RSI at 63.88 provides a healthy bullish signal, while MACD's positive histogram shows that bulls are still in control. However, Supertrend's bearish signal and the $97,000 resistance could increase volatility in the coming hours – the market will be tested by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and global risk appetite.

Market Outlook and Current Status

The Bitcoin market, as of January 15, 2026, is exhibiting a clear uptrend on the daily timeframe, but is trading at $95,578 after a 1.96% pullback in the last 24 hours. The daily range is squeezed between $95,134 - $97,490, signaling short-term consolidation dominance. Volume remains solid at 24.44 billion dollars, while the overall market capitalization has exceeded 1.9 trillion dollars. These figures indicate that Bitcoin is catching its breath after its recent weeks' rally, but the underlying uptrend remains intact.

From a multi-timeframe (MTF) perspective, a total of 9 strong levels have been identified across the 1D, 3D, and 1W charts: 2 supports/1 resistance on 1D, 2 supports/2 resistances on 3D, and 2 supports/3 resistances confluence on 1W. This confirms that Bitcoin is experiencing micro corrections within its macro uptrend. Staying above the short-term EMA20 ($91,822) emphasizes that bulls hold short-term control. For more detailed entry-exit points, you can review the BTC Spot Analysis in the spot market.

Market sentiment is supported by ongoing ETF flows and institutional buying, but BTC Futures Analysis data from futures trading shows long positions under pressure. There are no significant news catalysts, indicating that technical levels will remain in focus. The overall crypto market is moving in parallel with Bitcoin, with weakness in altcoins pushing BTC dominance to 56%.

Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

Support Zones

The strongest support level is $89,996 (score: 77/100), which aligns with Fibonacci retracement 38.2% and EMA50 confluence on 1D and 3D timeframes. This level will serve as the first line of defense for the uptrend; if broken, 1W supports will come into play. The second critical support is $94,624 (score: 68/100), close to the last 24-hour lows and forming a strong base in the volume profile. If this zone holds during minor corrections, it will give the green light for the rally to continue. Historically, Bitcoin has seen 10-15% rebounds from such supports, for example, a similar base in the November 2025 rally delivered 20% upside.

From an MTF confluence perspective, $89,996 overlaps with 3D and 1W supports, which could trigger aggressive buying pressure in a potential bottom formation. However, if volume remains low, sideways action could extend before these supports are tested. Investors should monitor these levels as stop-loss points, as a bearish scenario could lead to a $80,000 bearish target.

Resistance Barriers

The most critical resistance is $97,060 (score: 89/100), serving as the first hurdle before the Supertrend resistance ($103,832). It coincides with the trendline from recent highs on 1D, and breaking it would open the door to the $100,000 psychological barrier. This level has been rejected multiple times in recent weeks, so a volume-backed breakout is essential. MTF shows 3 resistance confluences (especially on 1W), confirming its toughness.

Supertrend's bearish signal serves as a warning for targets above $103,832; if not surpassed, the uptrend could weaken. According to historical data, 2-3% pullbacks are common during similar resistance tests, but it can be overcome with MACD support. Short-term traders can target $97,060 for long entries, but false breakout risk is high.

Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength

RSI at 63.88 shows healthy bullish momentum without approaching the overbought zone (70+), indicating the trend's sustainability. On the daily chart, RSI is stable in the channel above 50, with no divergence. MACD is giving a bull signal with a positive histogram, accelerating after a crossover above the signal line. This duo confirms the strength of the short-to-medium-term uptrend.

Price staying above EMA20 ($91,822) strengthens the short-term bullish bias, but Supertrend's bearish stance warns of a potential long-term trend change. Bollinger Bands have narrowed, with a volatility explosion expected. On MTF, 1W RSI is neutral-bullish around 58, and 3D at 65 is strong. Overall trend strength is medium-high with ADX at 28, indicating directional move potential. These indicators support an upward bias after consolidation, but watch for a Supertrend flip.

Volume analysis shows buyers still active; OBV is rising, confirming the accumulation phase. Stochastic is in the 80s, making short-term profit-taking possible. In summary, momentum favors bulls, and the trend can continue without overbought signals.

Risk Assessment and Trade Outlook

In the bullish scenario, the $114,000 target offers 19% upside from current levels; breaking $97,060 could first hit $103,000, followed by ATH tests. On the bearish side, $80,000 (16% downside) would trigger if $94,624 support breaks. The risk/reward ratio for longs above support is around 1:1.2 – attractive, but volatility is high. MTF confluence boosts upside potential, with $89,996 critical on the downside.

Risks include potential macro events (interest rate decisions, regulatory news) and BTC dominance loss from an altcoin rally. Positive scenario probability is 60%, negative 40%; long bias holds as long as uptrend is intact. Traders should wait for a hold above $94,624, with shorts requiring rejection at $97,060. Overall outlook: Upward breakout likely after consolidation, but patience is key.

This analysis interprets market dynamics data-driven while balancing all scenarios. Short-term volatility increase is expected, with the long-term uptrend solid.